2300 86th Ave · West Vero Corridor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity for a first time Homebuyer or investor . quick access to 95, 2o minutes from Beaches
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1981
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned carport; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Has view; Property faces east; Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (10 x 10); Bedroom (12 x 11)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in West Vero Corridor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#273 in FL, #4,421 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dodgertown Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 485 students, 78% FRL); Storm Grove Middle School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,020 students, 50% FRL); Vero Beach High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,847 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 388 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $98k; list at $220k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.99%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,086
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2240 86th Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 951 (-3%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $260 | 84 |
| 2145 85th Ct | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 959 (-2%) | 23mo | $274,000 | $286 | 66 |
| 2420 88th Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 967 (-1%) | 19mo | $255,000 | $264 | 65 |
| 2300 84th Ter | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 912 (-7%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $230 | 63 |
| 2175 87th Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-4%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $214 | 60 |
| 2260 84th Ter | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 836 (-15%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $221 | 59 |
| 2200 84th Ct | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+9%) | 22mo | $249,000 | $234 | 58 |
| 2170 86th Ave | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+13%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $262 | 56 |
| 2400 84th Ter | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 17mo | $255,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 2385 88th Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,124 (+15%) | 16mo | $269,000 | $239 | 48 |
| 2146 86th Ct | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+13%) | 20mo | $230,000 | $208 | 47 |
| 2505 89th Ct | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+14%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $179 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-21,207
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-13,440
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32966
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 388
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,175 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $370 | +0% $308 | +5% $245 | +10% $183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $136 | -5% $222 | +0% $308 | +5% $393 | +10% $479 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $418 | -0.5pp $364 | base $308 | +0.5pp $251 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2240 86th Dr Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 951 | $1,875 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8415 22nd St Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8775 20th St #909 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1405 82nd Ave #19 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 842 | $1,699 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2050 Griffon Rd Vero Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,295 | $2.70 | 15d | 31 | 1.11mi |
| 7580 Heron Cir Vero Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,467 | $2.46 | 15d | 21 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-22remarks 106-char remark
-
2026-06-22$219,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,990
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,088
- − Management
- −$2,088
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $119
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Vero Corridor
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #4421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Vero Corridor, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,686
- Household income
- $66,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 766.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.01%
- Current HPI
- 280.669
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.60%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+463.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $219,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2004-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 1997-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $32,300 Public Records
- 1983-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,990 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…