CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
151 Hibiscus Way
D Composite 40.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

151 Hibiscus Way · Yalaha, FL 34748
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Condo public records · 306 Days on market
Built 1980 $397/mo HOA · 25% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully Updated Two-Bedroom, Two-Bath Home This thoughtfully maintained two-bedroom, two-bath home is filled with recent updates that bring both comfort and peace of mind. New windows were installed in June 2022, followed by a new vapor barrier in February 2023, and a new front door in May 2023. The roof was coated in 2022, and the air conditioner was replaced in 2018, ensuring lasting efficiency. Inside, the living room and guest bath feature new subflooring and flooring added in 2023, while the kitchen and dining room were updated in 2017 and enhanced further in 2023 with a new kitchen fan, sink, light fixtures, and faucet. Some new blinds were also added in 2024, adding a fresh fini

Key facts

  • New front door
  • New vapor barrier
  • Coated roof

Tags

NEW WINDOWSNEW VAPOR BARRIERNEW FRONT DOORCOATED ROOFREPLACED AIR CONDITIONERNEW SUBFLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; Irrigation equipment
  • Financial info: Total annual fees $4,764 (monthly $397)
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $397); HOA includes 24-hour guard, cable TV, pool, grounds maintenance, management, sewer and water; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, spa/hot tub, sauna, trails, storage, wheelchair access; Senior community; Pets not allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Security: Gated community (association amenity)
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Cable available and connected; Phone available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet(s); 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located outside; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-766/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (9.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#503 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Leesburg Elementary School (math 31% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 822 students, 71% FRL); Oak Park Middle School (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 575 students, 70% FRL); Leesburg High School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,641 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 798 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.19%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.0%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-28,627
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-46.8%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-46,743
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34748

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
798
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,387/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$397
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$-64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,650
Max offer price $113,721
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $7 -5% $-28 +0% $-64 +5% $-99 +10% $-135
Rent -10% $-188 -5% $-126 +0% $-64 +5% $-2 +10% $60
Rate -1.0pp $-1 -0.5pp $-32 base $-64 +0.5pp $-96 +1.0pp $-129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5440 Rosewall Cir Leesburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 6d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$397 · $4,764/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 306 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 303 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 302 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 301 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 300 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 298 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 294 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 293 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 292 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 289 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 288 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 287 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 286 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 285 DOM
  15. 2026-03-07
    price $125,000
  16. 2025-12-22
    price $132,000
  17. 2025-08-19
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,387 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,387 · $199/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,830
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,387
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,506
− Management
−$1,506
− HOA
−$4,764
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$623
After-tax cash flow
$-143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Yalaha

Score
68/100
State rank
#503
US rank
#9321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
1,142
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
48,095
Household income
$58,192
Rent vs Own
24.9% rent · 75.1% own
Severe rent burden
1745.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.97%
Current HPI
262.1766
Rent YoY
▼ -0.95%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $132,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+23.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,387 · +96.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…