109 Stennis Ave · Ocean Springs, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON THE MARKET- no fault of seller or property. Buyers financing unexpectedly fell through prior to closing...Great opportunity for a new Buyer! PRICED BELOW APPRAISED VALUE! Located less than a mile from beautiful Downtown Ocean Springs, this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home just over 1800 sf offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy one of the Coasts most desirable neighborhoods. Walk or bike to local restaurants ,boutique shopping, parks and top-rated Ocean Springs schools. With great bones and endless potential, this home is ready for someone to bring it back to life with their personal touch. Great price in a Prime Location. Come see Today!
Key facts
- Boutique shopping
- Local restaurants
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MS, #420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.51%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,951
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -20.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 Brumbaugh Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-5%) | 11mo | $299,900 | $167 | 72 |
| 11 Royal Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,855 (-2%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $162 | 70 |
| 2704 Catherine Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,844 (-2%) | 5mo | $225,975 | $123 | 70 |
| 2704 English Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,084 (+10%) | 0mo | $349,900 | $168 | 61 |
| 2510 Parkwood Pl | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,842 (-2%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $176 | 61 |
| 208 Wheaton Ct | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-13%) | 7mo | $339,000 | $205 | 60 |
| 214 Simon Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 1,980 (+5%) | 12mo | $334,900 | $169 | 54 |
| 50 Choctaw Cir | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,812 (-4%) | 12mo | $235,500 | $130 | 53 |
| 101 Colonial Dr | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,780 (-6%) | 8mo | $367,000 | $206 | 53 |
| 2715 Hargrove Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,697 (-10%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $147 | 49 |
| 311 Holcomb Blvd | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,658 (-12%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $166 | 43 |
| 606 Clark Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,703 (-10%) | 5mo | $399,000 | $234 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-31,597
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,727
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39564
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 714
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,135 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Watersedge Dr Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,650 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 111 Armand Oaks Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 237 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,150 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 156 Lafayette Cir Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2718 Government St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 623 Camellia Pointe Blvd Ocean Springs, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $2,200 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4008 Breezy Hill Ln Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $3,200 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1508 Government St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1557 | $1,950 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $225,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET- no fault of seller or property. Buyers financing unexpectedly fell through prior to closing...Great opportunity for a new Buyer! PRICED BELOW APPRAISED VALUE! Located less than a mile from beautiful Downtown Ocean Springs, this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home just over 1800 sf offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy one of the Coasts most desirable neighborhoods. Walk or bike to local restaurants ,boutique shopping, parks and top-rated Ocean Springs schools. With great bones and endless potential, this home is ready for someone to bring it back to life with their personal touch. Great price in a Prime Location. Come see Today!
-
2026-04-17status Pending 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET- no fault of seller or property. Buyers financing unexpectedly fell through prior to closing...Great opportunity for a new Buyer! PRICED BELOW APPRAISED VALUE! Located less than a mile from beautiful Downtown Ocean Springs, this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home just over 1800 sf offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy one of the Coasts most desirable neighborhoods. Walk or bike to local restaurants ,boutique shopping, parks and top-rated Ocean Springs schools. With great bones and endless potential, this home is ready for someone to bring it back to life with their personal touch. Great price in a Prime Location. Come see Today!
-
2026-03-31price $239,900 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET- no fault of seller or property. Buyers financing unexpectedly fell through prior to closing...Great opportunity for a new Buyer! PRICED BELOW APPRAISED VALUE! Located less than a mile from beautiful Downtown Ocean Springs, this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home just over 1800 sf offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy one of the Coasts most desirable neighborhoods. Walk or bike to local restaurants ,boutique shopping, parks and top-rated Ocean Springs schools. With great bones and endless potential, this home is ready for someone to bring it back to life with their personal touch. Great price in a Prime Location. Come see Today!
-
2026-03-16$248,000 Active 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET- no fault of seller or property. Buyers financing unexpectedly fell through prior to closing...Great opportunity for a new Buyer! PRICED BELOW APPRAISED VALUE! Located less than a mile from beautiful Downtown Ocean Springs, this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home just over 1800 sf offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy one of the Coasts most desirable neighborhoods. Walk or bike to local restaurants ,boutique shopping, parks and top-rated Ocean Springs schools. With great bones and endless potential, this home is ready for someone to bring it back to life with their personal touch. Great price in a Prime Location. Come see Today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,126
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$510
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803360
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,485
- Composite
- 53.35/100
- National rank
- #1477
- State rank
- #1 of 130 in MS
Livability — Ocean Springs
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #420
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Springs, MS
- County
- Jackson County · 82,196 people
- City population
- 43,240
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,240
- Household income
- $78,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 734.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 204.2244
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-3.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $239,900 MLSU
- 2026-03-16 Listed $248,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $247 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…