14911 Longbranch Dr · Lakeway, TX 78734

$449,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,542 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 247 Days on market

Built 2005 9,452 sqft lot $292/sqft · 24% below area Est $753k · 40% under · waterfront $8/mo HOA

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +6.2/30.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.7/10.0
• DSCR +0.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

Key facts

• Converted garage
• Back porch
• 9,452 sq ft lot

Tags

• BACK PORCH
• GENEROUS LIVING SPACE
• CONVERTED GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-825 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (32.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (32.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $303k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 1.7% in Lakeway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Lake Travis ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #39 of 826 in TX (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Lake Travis El (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 763 students, 38% FRL); Hudson Bend Middle (math 57% / reading 52%, grade B-, #256 of 1,662 statewide, top 16%, 900 students, 0% FRL); Lake Travis H S (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,701 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 481 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $302,860 (32.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.67% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.86%
• DSCR: 0.65
• GRM: 12.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $753,363
• List price: $449,900
• Delta: -40.28%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14810 Foy Dr	0.10mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,642 (+6%)	17mo	$499,000	$304	65
14504 Debba Dr	0.30mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,597 (+4%)	13mo	$465,000	$291	64
15202 Cavalier Canyon Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,611 (+4%)	5mo	$499,900	$310	56
1503 Sharps Rd	0.15mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,763 (+14%)	10mo	$500,000	$284	54
1201 Socorro Dr	0.49mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,664 (+8%)	7mo	$519,900	$312	49
14205 Fort Smith Trl	0.65mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,569 (+2%)	16mo	$485,000	$309	48
1200 Pike Rd	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,664 (+8%)	14mo	$399,990	$240	46
2679 Crazyhorse Pass	0.63mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,490 (-3%)	20mo	$439,000	$295	43
2108 Indian Creek Rd	0.59mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,320 (-14%)	1mo	$425,000	$322	43
1906 W Moeta Dr	0.64mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,710 (+11%)	10mo	$479,900	$281	39
15107 Cavalier Canyon Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,422 (-8%)	20mo	$400,000	$281	38
14309 Debba Dr	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,753 (+14%)	22mo	$599,900	$342	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -28.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.04×
• Total profit: $-120,598
• Equity at exit: $67,082

10-year hold

• IRR: -22.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.21×
• Total profit: $-152,076
• Equity at exit: $38,899

Cash invested: $125,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78734

• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 481
• Price-to-rent: 12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,029 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,359
• Tax from tax record: −$663 /mo · $7,959/yr
• Insurance: −$187
• HOA: −$8
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$636
• Net cashflow: $-825

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,073

Max offer price $304,085

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-571	-5% $-698	+0% $-825	+5% $-953	+10% $-1,080
Rent	-10% $-1,065	-5% $-945	+0% $-825	+5% $-706	+10% $-586
Rate	-1.0pp $-599	-0.5pp $-711	base $-825	+0.5pp $-942	+1.0pp $-1,061

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $112,475
• Closing costs: $13,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14803 Debba Dr Austin, TX	3.0	2.5	1664	$2,650	$1.59	45d	1	0.10mi
14708 Foy Dr Austin, TX	3.0	2.0	1163	$2,095	$1.80	45d	1	0.16mi
14406 Tucumcari Trl Austin, TX	4.0	3.0	2165	$3,800	$1.76	22d	1	0.40mi
2012 Indian Creek Rd Austin, TX	4.0	2.0	1788	$3,250	$1.82	45d	1	0.51mi
2102 Crazyhorse Pass Austin, TX	3.0	2.5	2057	$2,700	$1.31	26d	1	0.57mi
2208 N FM 620 Austin, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1126	$2,700	$2.40	0d	10	0.98mi
1104 Buffalo Gap Rd Austin, TX	3.0	2.0	1329	$3,500	$2.63	12d	1	1.02mi
15203 Lariat Trl Austin, TX	3.0	2.5	2195	$4,200	$1.91	6d	1	1.06mi
15216 Kevin Ln Austin, TX	3.0	2.0	1472	$2,395	$1.63	26d	1	1.25mi
3248 Brass Buttons Trl Austin, TX	3.0	2.0	1238	$2,200	$1.78	26d	1	1.38mi
2918 Ranch Road 620 N Unit C120 Austin, TX	3.0	3.0	1542	$2,475	$1.61	4d	1	1.44mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $8 · $96/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $449,900 Active 247 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $449,900 Active 244 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $449,900 Active 243 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $449,900 Active 242 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $449,900 Active 241 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $449,900 Active 239 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $449,900 Active 235 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $449,900 Active 234 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $449,900 Active 233 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $449,900 Active 230 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $449,900 Active 229 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $449,900 Active 228 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $452,900 Active 227 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $452,900 Active 226 DOM
15. 2026-05-08
    price $452,900 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

16. 2026-04-04
    price $459,000 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

17. 2026-01-29
    price $469,000 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

18. 2025-11-30
    price $479,000 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

19. 2025-11-05
    price $499,000 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

20. 2025-10-17
    status Active 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

21. 2025-10-15
    listed $524,900 Active 1351-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1351 chars)

    Lakefront Community Park with private Boat Ramp and day dock! Short Term Rentals allowed! Welcome to 14911 Longbranch Drive — a charming single-story home in a quiet, well-established neighborhood that blends comfort, convenience, and character. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a guest suite converted from the garage that offers a bedroom/living space. No carpet, new Luxury Vinyl Plank in all bedrooms and guest suite. This home in the coveted Lake Travis school district has indoor and outdoor areas that are perfect for hosting friends or family. The bedrooms are well-proportioned, all with walk-in closets, and the layout flows naturally. The roof was replaced about 2 or 3 years ago and the water heater was also replaced recently. READY TO MOVE IN!!! One of the standout features is the lovely back patio/deck — ideal for relaxing evenings, morning coffee, or entertaining. The fenced yard offers tree-shaded privacy and plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, garden projects, or a play area. This home is close to essential amenities, schools, shopping, and local dining. If you’re looking for comfort, space, and a warm atmosphere, this home is ready to welcome you. Lowest property taxes and HOA in Lake Travis ISD! See neighborhood amenities at: https://apacheshorespoa.com/neighborhood/amenities/

22. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus
23. 2021-04-19
    soldstatus Closed 452-char remark

    Show marketing remark (452 chars)

    Multiple offers. Highest and best by Sunday 7 pm. 3/21/21 Beautiful one story home w/ private Lake Austin access with boat ramp & park. Kitchen & baths updated, Kitchen has double ovens & microwave, Granite counters, Ceramic tiled floors, carpeting in bedrooms. Spacious Family w/ cathedral ceiling & MBR has coffered ceiling. Mother-in-law plan. Custom Hardwood Shutters thru-out. Spacious landscaped lot with many mature oaks.

24. 2021-03-22
    status Pending 452-char remark

    Show marketing remark (452 chars)

    Multiple offers. Highest and best by Sunday 7 pm. 3/21/21 Beautiful one story home w/ private Lake Austin access with boat ramp & park. Kitchen & baths updated, Kitchen has double ovens & microwave, Granite counters, Ceramic tiled floors, carpeting in bedrooms. Spacious Family w/ cathedral ceiling & MBR has coffered ceiling. Mother-in-law plan. Custom Hardwood Shutters thru-out. Spacious landscaped lot with many mature oaks.

25. 2021-03-17
    listed $449,900 Active 452-char remark

    Show marketing remark (452 chars)

    Multiple offers. Highest and best by Sunday 7 pm. 3/21/21 Beautiful one story home w/ private Lake Austin access with boat ramp & park. Kitchen & baths updated, Kitchen has double ovens & microwave, Granite counters, Ceramic tiled floors, carpeting in bedrooms. Spacious Family w/ cathedral ceiling & MBR has coffered ceiling. Mother-in-law plan. Custom Hardwood Shutters thru-out. Spacious landscaped lot with many mature oaks.

26. 2014-09-10
    soldstatus Sold
27. 2014-09-08
    soldstatus
28. 2014-07-21
    price $261,000
29. 2014-07-20
    status Pending - Taking Backups
30. 2014-07-05
    price $255,000
31. 2014-06-20
    listed $257,900 Active
32. 2005-05-16
    soldstatus
33. 2005-04-07
    historical
34. 2004-10-25
    historical
35. 2004-10-22
    listed $169,950
36. 2004-10-12
    listed
37. 2004-09-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $7,959 · $663/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,233 · $686/mo
• Expected delta: +$274/yr (+$23/mo · 3.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,343
• − Mortgage interest: −$25,201
• − Property taxes: −$7,959
• − Insurance: −$2,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,907
• − Management: −$2,907
• − HOA: −$96
• − Depreciation: −$13,088
• Taxable loss: −$18,065
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,336
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake Travis ISD
• NCES district ID: 4826470
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $101,194
• Composite: 55.13/100
• National rank: #1283
• State rank: #39 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lakeway

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #330
• US rank: #7227

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Travis County · 1,299,254 people
• City population: 22,145
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 22,145
• Household income: $130,784
• Rent vs Own: 16.5% rent · 83.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 296.0

Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,545,133 people
• By 2030: 1,729,269 · +11.9%
• By 2040: 2,097,596 · +35.8%
• By 2050: 2,463,890 · +59.5%
• By 2075: 3,249,374 · +110.3%
• By 2100: 3,801,868 · +146.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Italian 6% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Travis

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -227.08%
• Current HPI: 216.0323
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+166.5% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Price Changed $452,900 Unlock MLS
• 2026-04-04 Price Changed $459,000 Unlock MLS
• 2026-01-29 Price Changed $469,000 Unlock MLS
• 2025-11-30 Price Changed $479,000 Unlock MLS
• 2025-11-05 Price Changed $499,000 Unlock MLS
• 2025-10-17 Relisted — Unlock MLS
• 2025-10-15 Listed $524,900 Unlock MLS
• 2021-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2021-04-19 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
• 2021-03-22 Pending — Unlock MLS
• 2021-03-17 Listed $449,900 Unlock MLS
• 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
• 2014-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2014-07-21 Price Changed $261,000 Unlock MLS
• 2014-07-20 Pending — Unlock MLS
• 2014-07-05 Price Changed $255,000 Unlock MLS
• 2014-06-20 Listed $257,900 Unlock MLS
• 2005-05-16 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
• 2005-04-07 Delisted — Unlock MLS
• 2004-10-25 Delisted — Unlock MLS
• 2004-10-22 Listed $169,950 Unlock MLS
• 2004-10-12 Listed — Unlock MLS
• 2004-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $7,959 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.