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3229 Coleman Ave
B- Composite 66.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

3229 Coleman Ave · Rockford, IL 61101
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,357 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1972 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring Your Vision to Rockford! If you've been searching for a property with great bones where you can build instant sweat equity, this is it. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic footprint and sits on a massive lot with endless possibilities for expansion, gardening, or outdoor entertainment. Complete with a 2-car garage, this home is a blank canvas ready for its next chapter. This property requires some TLC and is being sold strictly as-is (including all current personal property). Leased solar panels will convey with the sale. Perfect for an ambitious homeowner or an investor looking for their next rewarding project! Property is sold as is. Buyer will be responsible for removing anything in the home.

Key facts

  • Leased solar panels
  • Massive lot
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

MASSIVE LOTLEASED SOLAR PANELS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential house
  • Construction: Residential construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: One full bathroom on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Conklin Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 433 students, 0% FRL); West Middle School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #627 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 849 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $50k implies a 593% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.85%
Cap rate
25.24%
Cash-on-cash
67.68%
DSCR
4.01
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,911
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3236 Ellis Rd 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,442 (+6%) 7mo $115,000 $80 76
2807 Carmac Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,330 (-2%) 1mo $190,000 $143 74
3036 Rice Ave 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,382 (+2%) 8mo $222,500 $161 65
2724 Kilburn Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,345 (-1%) 8mo $125,000 $93 63
3507 Packard Pkwy 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-12%) 2mo $176,000 $147 58
2312 Jonathan Ave Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,466 (+8%) 3mo $116,000 $79 51
2616 Karen Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,180 (-13%) 1mo $205,000 $174 50
2324 Paradise Blvd 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,318 (-3%) 10mo $150,000 $114 44
3959 Riverside Blvd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,510 (+11%) 10mo $151,000 $100 41
2316 Pierce Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,221 (-10%) 12mo $155,000 $127 41
2328 Pierce Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,187 (-12%) 4mo $129,000 $109 41
2612 Glenwood Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,166 (-14%) 6mo $143,000 $123 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.0%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$42,120
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
71.3%
Equity multiple
8.26×
Total profit
$101,372
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $654/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $427
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $816 -5% $802 +0% $788 +5% $774 +10% $760
Rent -10% $676 -5% $732 +0% $788 +5% $844 +10% $901
Rate -1.0pp $813 -0.5pp $801 base $788 +0.5pp $775 +1.0pp $762

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2535 Halsted Rd Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,399 $1.65 14d 1 0.41mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 14d 1 0.86mi
3936 Eagle Dr Rockford, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 712 $999 $1.40 14d 1 0.86mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 44d 1 0.93mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 14d 1 0.93mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 21d 1 1.03mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 14d 1 1.03mi
3007 Huffman Blvd Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 1.11mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,325 $0.96 44d 1 1.32mi
1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,400 $1.46 44d 1 1.35mi
3422 Fremont St Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,975 $1.16 14d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $49,900 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $49,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listing id $49,900 Active 1 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    remarks 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Bring Your Vision to Rockford! If you've been searching for a property with great bones where you can build instant sweat equity, this is it. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic footprint and sits on a massive lot with endless possibilities for expansion, gardening, or outdoor entertainment. Complete with a 2-car garage, this home is a blank canvas ready for its next chapter. This property requires some TLC and is being sold strictly as-is (including all current personal property). Leased solar panels will convey with the sale. Perfect for an ambitious homeowner or an investor looking for their next rewarding project! Property is sold as is. Buyer will be responsible for removing anything in the home.

  15. 2026-06-01
    listed $49,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Bring Your Vision to Rockford! If you've been searching for a property with great bones where you can build instant sweat equity, this is it. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic footprint and sits on a massive lot with endless possibilities for expansion, gardening, or outdoor entertainment. Complete with a 2-car garage, this home is a blank canvas ready for its next chapter. This property requires some TLC and is being sold strictly as-is (including all current personal property). Leased solar panels will convey with the sale. Perfect for an ambitious homeowner or an investor looking for their next rewarding project! Property is sold as is. Buyer will be responsible for removing anything in the home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$654 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$893 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,088
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$654
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$9,204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,209
After-tax cash flow
$7,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+404.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $49,900 NWIAR
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $7,200 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $7,200 NWIAR
  • 2015-05-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-04 Price Changed $9,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-03 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-01 Listed $9,900 NWIAR

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $654 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…