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907 W Poplar St
B- Composite 66.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

907 W Poplar St · York, PA 17403
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,611 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 1,072 sqft lot Est $156k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS AN EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY FOR A 1ST TIME BUYER OR AN INVESTOR. THIS HOME NEEDS ONLY A LITTLE TLC & IT'S READY TO MOVE IN. |

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: One off-street parking space accessed via alley; Crushed stone parking surface; Total of one garage/parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available (100 amp service); Cable internet/TV available; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Average condition; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Municipal trash service; Pets allowed with no restrictions; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Window cooling units (electric)
  • Interior features: Finished above-grade living area per assessor; Basement with sump pump, unfinished
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-floor laundry; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.9% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
  • York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ferguson Sch (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,494 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 640 students, 100% FRL); Edgar Fahs Smith Steam Academy (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 240 students, 100% FRL); William Penn Shs (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #407 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 1,534 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $135k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.38%
Cash-on-cash
11.03%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,267
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
925 W College Ave 0.16mi 5/1.0 1,660 (+3%) 3mo $129,900 $78 85
826 Fern Pl 0.34mi 5/1.0 1,572 (-2%) 0mo $128,000 $81 80
1206 W Poplar St 0.25mi 5/1.5 1,572 (-2%) 5mo $135,000 $86 78
818 W King St 0.06mi 5/1.5 1,824 (+13%) 1mo $203,000 $111 72
1254 W Poplar St 0.35mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (-5%) 1mo $192,000 $125 70
132 N West St 0.43mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-3%) 3mo $145,000 $93 68
429 W Princess St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,604 (-0%) 1mo $125,000 $78 66
1250 W King St 0.36mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,459 (-9%) 5mo $169,900 $116 58
589 W Princess St 0.32mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,428 (-11%) 4mo $175,000 $123 58
204 Park Pl 0.72mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,574 (-2%) 2mo $199,900 $127 54
120 N Penn St 0.70mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,492 (-7%) 5mo $145,000 $97 44
847 Florida Ave 0.60mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,843 (+14%) 3mo $154,000 $84 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,708
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$41,200
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17403

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,310/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,211
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $386 +0% $348 +5% $309 +10% $271
Rent -10% $217 -5% $282 +0% $348 +5% $413 +10% $478
Rate -1.0pp $416 -0.5pp $382 base $348 +0.5pp $313 +1.0pp $277

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
925 W College Ave York, PA 4.0 1.0 1660 $1,425 $0.86 15d 1 0.15mi
709 W Princess St York, PA 5.0 1.0 1829 $1,425 $0.78 45d 1 0.15mi
121 S Belvidere Ave Unit 121 York, PA 5.0 1.5 1846 $1,450 $0.79 45d 1 0.17mi
26 N West St York, PA 6.0 2.0 2100 $2,200 $1.05 22d 1 0.34mi
132 N West St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1560 $1,600 $1.03 15d 1 0.42mi
216 Park Pl York, PA 4.0 1.0 1192 $1,350 $1.13 15d 1 0.71mi
330 Smyser St York, PA 5.0 1.0 1634 $1,425 $0.87 45d 1 0.82mi
289 Union St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 45d 1 0.94mi
213 Kurtz Ave York, PA 5.0 1.0 1921 $1,850 $0.96 15d 1 1.00mi
119 W Jackson St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 45d 1 1.16mi
113 Arch St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1188 $1,200 $1.01 15d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    remarks 360-char remark
  7. 2026-06-14
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,310 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,310 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,811
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,310
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$520
After-tax cash flow
$3,650/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York City SD
NCES district ID
4226820
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$29,470
Composite
7.61/100
National rank
#9943
State rank
#534 of 539 in PA

Livability — York

Score
75/100
State rank
#427
US rank
#3987

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
York, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
City population
184,764
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
40,287
Household income
$75,384
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.51%
Current HPI
284.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+610.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-12 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-06 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-03-07 Listed $24,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1987-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,310 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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