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2271 Route 50
B Composite 74.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

2271 Route 50 · Upper, NJ 08250
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily · 106 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $67/sqft · 68% below area ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared driveway with adjacent property owner.Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. House has been red tagged by Township, Do not go into house or on property due to safety reasons.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Upper Township School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #151 of 472 in NJ (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Upper Township Primary School (493 students, 11% FRL); Upper Township Middle School (math 24% / reading 65%, grade D, #153 of 431 statewide, top 37%, 469 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.88%
Cash-on-cash
27.08%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,982
List price
$100,000
Delta
-67.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Reading Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+1%) 22mo $255,000 $170 70
101 Whitman Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,497 (+1%) 3mo $459,500 $307 67
147 Reading Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+9%) 15mo $308,000 $190 65
147 Reading Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+9%) 16mo $308,000 $190 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$52,315
Equity at exit
$44,964
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
5.64×
Total profit
$129,887
Equity at exit
$69,295

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08250

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$632

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $701 -5% $666 +0% $632 +5% $597 +10% $563
Rent -10% $500 -5% $566 +0% $632 +5% $698 +10% $764
Rate -1.0pp $682 -0.5pp $657 base $632 +0.5pp $606 +1.0pp $580

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
  19. 2026-03-07
    listed $100,000 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared driveway with adjacent property owner.Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. House has been red tagged by Township, Do not go into house or on property due to safety reasons.

  20. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $162,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is

  21. 2007-08-15
    historical 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is

  22. 2006-10-09
    listed $174,900 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,095
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$6,369
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,529
After-tax cash flow
$6,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Upper Township School District
NCES district ID
3416650
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$78,141
Composite
43.29/100
National rank
#3040
State rank
#151 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Upper

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuckahoe, NJ

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $100,000 MOMLS
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $162,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2007-08-15 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2006-10-09 Listed $174,900 SJSRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…