2271 Route 50 · Upper, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared driveway with adjacent property owner.Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. House has been red tagged by Township, Do not go into house or on property due to safety reasons.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Upper Township School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #151 of 472 in NJ (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Upper Township Primary School (493 students, 11% FRL); Upper Township Middle School (math 24% / reading 65%, grade D, #153 of 431 statewide, top 37%, 469 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.08%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,982
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -67.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Reading Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (+1%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 101 Whitman Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (+1%) | 3mo | $459,500 | $307 | 67 |
| 147 Reading Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+9%) | 15mo | $308,000 | $190 | 65 |
| 147 Reading Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+9%) | 16mo | $308,000 | $190 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $52,315
- Equity at exit
- $44,964
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.64×
- Total profit
- $129,887
- Equity at exit
- $69,295
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08250
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $701 | -5% $666 | +0% $632 | +5% $597 | +10% $563 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $500 | -5% $566 | +0% $632 | +5% $698 | +10% $764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $682 | -0.5pp $657 | base $632 | +0.5pp $606 | +1.0pp $580 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-07$100,000 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared driveway with adjacent property owner.Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. House has been red tagged by Township, Do not go into house or on property due to safety reasons.
-
2007-09-28soldstatus $162,000 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is
-
2007-08-15historical 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is
-
2006-10-09$174,900 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Got First time Buyers? Then don't miss this 3 BD, 1.5 BA home in the heart of Historic Tuckahoe. Original hardwood floors, 2 car detached garage w/ 220 electric, & heater, spacious living & dining rooms. And a floored attic. This Home is to good to be true only 15 minutes from the beach. Easy to Show. Please call LA for more information Being sold as is
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $6,369
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,529
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416650
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,141
- Composite
- 43.29/100
- National rank
- #3040
- State rank
- #151 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Upper
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuckahoe, NJ
Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,234 people
- By 2030
- 84,144 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 75,146 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 67,389 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 55,732 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 44,972 · -49.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-42.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $100,000 MOMLS
- 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $162,000 SJSRMLS
- 2007-08-15 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2006-10-09 Listed $174,900 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…