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Palm Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.61
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$282,990

Palm Plan · Punta Gorda, FL 33955
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,722 sqft · SingleFamily · 321 Days on market
Good condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ryan Homes at Heritage Station features new single-family homes in a gated community with NO CDD fees. Choose your designer interior features with options for water and nature view homesites. Priced from the mid $200s. The Palm single-family home is purely amazing. 4 spacious bedrooms and a full bath offer all the space you need for family and friends to enjoy quiet comfort. Get everyone together in your great room for game night. Or gather around your dining table and center island for a mouthwatering homemade meal, fresh from the gorgeous gourmet kitchen. Enjoy some fresh air outside on your lovely lanai. Then call it a night and step into your luxurious owner's suite.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Great room
  • Large walk-in closet

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYDESIGNER INTERIOR FEATURESGREAT ROOMGORGEOUS GOURMET KITCHENLOVELY LANAILARGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $282,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $368,243.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $283k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-459 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 1866 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $249,031 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.34%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$368,243
List price
$282,990
Delta
-23.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25572 Calusa Dr 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,722 (0%) 5mo $309,640 $180 95
25575 Calusa Dr 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,876 (+9%) 3mo $320,000 $171 81
25488 Calusa Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+8%) 3mo $360,000 $194 76
25220 Calusa Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,875 (+9%) 10mo $390,000 $208 64
16154 Galiano Ct 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,786 (+4%) 2mo $265,000 $148 61
16088 Quiche Ct 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,809 (+5%) 5mo $317,900 $176 58
16096 Quiche Ct 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,809 (+5%) 9mo $313,500 $173 55
16040 Galiano Ct 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,914 (+11%) 6mo $329,900 $172 53
16074 Overdale Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,651 (-4%) 2mo $281,000 $170 52
16256 Alcira Cir 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,818 (+6%) 6mo $299,990 $165 52
25238 Cadiz Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,809 (+5%) 10mo $319,000 $176 49
24377 Treasure Island Blvd 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,865 (+8%) 6mo $725,000 $389 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.4%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-88,841
Equity at exit
$54,906
10-year hold
IRR
-21.6%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-114,811
Equity at exit
$31,839

Cash invested: $103,108 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
45 active · 22 under contract
Months of supply
11.2 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$338,990 ($186/sqft)
Median days on market
140 d
This list price
11% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33955

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Active inventory
1866
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,641 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,931
Tax est. 1.5%
$460 /mo · $5,524/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$555
Net cashflow
$-459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,221
Max offer price $301,880
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-204 -5% $-331 +0% $-459 +5% $-586 +10% $-713
Rent -10% $-667 -5% $-563 +0% $-459 +5% $-354 +10% $-250
Rate -1.0pp $-273 -0.5pp $-365 base $-459 +0.5pp $-554 +1.0pp $-651

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,061
Closing costs
$11,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25186 Alicante Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 1717 $2,095 $1.22 116d 1 0.44mi
16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1508 $1,895 $1.26 116d 1 0.62mi
14897 Cherry Blossom Way Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2046 $9,000 $4.40 116d 1 0.66mi
16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1508 $1,895 $1.26 116d 1 0.67mi
16147 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1508 $1,795 $1.19 3d 1 0.74mi
16265 Alcira Cir Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 3.0 2032 $2,300 $1.13 2d 1 0.75mi
25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,295 $1.26 116d 1 0.75mi
25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,100 $1.15 6d 1 0.75mi
25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,100 $1.15 6d 1 0.76mi
25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,295 $1.26 116d 1 0.76mi
25110 Alcazar Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 3.0 2020 $1,995 $0.99 6d 1 0.77mi
14649 Sycamore Ct #2912 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,000 $4.02 116d 1 0.84mi
14656 Sycamore Ct #3211 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,000 $4.02 116d 1 0.85mi
14185 Poppy Field Loop #5421 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2110 $6,500 $3.08 116d 1 0.85mi
14201 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1338 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,000 $4.61 116d 1 0.90mi
14680 Sycamore Ct #3722 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2110 $4,000 $1.90 116d 1 0.91mi
14161 Poppy Field Loop #5811 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $4,200 $2.41 116d 1 0.91mi
14149 Poppy Field Loop #6011 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $6,500 $3.73 116d 1 0.95mi
16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1726 $2,749 $1.59 116d 1 0.97mi
14161 Heritage Landing Blvd #1121 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,750 $1.35 6d 1 1.00mi
14132 Poppy Field Loop #4021 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2110 $2,800 $1.33 6d 1 1.02mi
14073 Black Beauty Dr #1012 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,000 $4.02 6d 1 1.05mi
25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,700 $1.39 6d 1 1.06mi
16195 Maya Cir Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 2077 $2,495 $1.20 109d 1 1.10mi
25904 Prada Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,111 $1.08 109d 1 1.24mi
25377 Doredo Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 3.0 2092 $2,300 $1.10 116d 1 1.27mi
25222 Keygrass Ct Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 3.0 2247 $5,000 $2.23 116d 1 1.27mi
14061 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1302 $6,500 $4.99 116d 3 1.36mi
14051 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1280 $6,000 $4.69 116d 2 1.40mi
25115 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.0 2245 $8,500 $3.79 116d 1 1.46mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Located at 25572 Calusa Dr, Punta Gorda FL 33955Listing status: Active
Financial info
Listing price $279,990

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Utilities
Central air (electric)
Home design
Plan named "Palm"New construction plan
Exterior features
Living area of 1,722

Interior

Bedrooms
4 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central air conditioning
Interior features
Central air conditioning

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $282,990 Active 321 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $282,990 Active 320 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $282,990 Active 319 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $282,990 Active 318 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $282,990 Active 317 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    pricedays on market $282,990 Active 315 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $279,990 Active 314 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $279,990 Active 313 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $279,990 Active 312 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $279,990 Active 311 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $279,990 Active 310 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $279,990 Active 309 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $279,990 Active 303 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $279,990 Active 302 DOM
  15. 2026-08-30
    days on market $279,990 Active 297 DOM
  16. 2026-08-29
    days on market $279,990 Active 296 DOM
  17. 2026-08-28
    days on market $279,990 Active 295 DOM
  18. 2026-08-27
    days on market $279,990 Active 294 DOM
  19. 2026-08-26
    days on market $279,990 Active 293 DOM
  20. 2026-08-25
    days on market $279,990 Active 292 DOM
  21. 2026-08-23
    days on market $279,990 Active 290 DOM
  22. 2026-08-22
    days on market $279,990 Active 289 DOM
  23. 2026-08-21
    days on market $279,990 Active 288 DOM
  24. 2026-08-20
    days on market $279,990 Active 287 DOM
  25. 2026-08-19
    days on market $279,990 Active 286 DOM
  26. 2026-08-18
    days on market $279,990 Active 285 DOM
  27. 2026-08-17
    days on market $279,990 Active 284 DOM
  28. 2026-08-16
    days on market $279,990 Active 283 DOM
  29. 2026-08-15
    days on market $279,990 Active 282 DOM
  30. 2026-08-14
    days on market $279,990 Active 281 DOM
  31. 2026-08-13
    days on market $279,990 Active 280 DOM
  32. 2026-08-12
    days on market $279,990 Active 279 DOM
  33. 2026-08-12
    days on market $279,990 Active 278 DOM
  34. 2026-08-10
    days on market $279,990 Active 277 DOM
  35. 2026-08-09
    days on market $279,990 Active 276 DOM
  36. 2026-08-08
    days on market $279,990 Active 275 DOM
  37. 2026-08-07
    days on market $279,990 Active 274 DOM
  38. 2026-08-06
    days on market $279,990 Active 273 DOM
  39. 2026-08-05
    days on market $279,990 Active 272 DOM
  40. 2026-08-04
    days on market $279,990 Active 271 DOM
  41. 2026-08-03
    days on market $279,990 Active 270 DOM
  42. 2026-08-01
    days on market $279,990 Active 267 DOM
  43. 2026-07-29
    days on market $279,990 Active 265 DOM
  44. 2026-07-27
    days on market $279,990 Active 263 DOM
  45. 2026-07-24
    days on market $279,990 Active 260 DOM
  46. 2026-07-23
    days on market $279,990 Active 259 DOM
  47. 2026-07-22
    days on market $279,990 Active 258 DOM
  48. 2026-07-21
    days on market $279,990 Active 257 DOM
  49. 2026-07-18
    days on market $279,990 Active 254 DOM
  50. 2026-07-16
    days on market $279,990 Active 252 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,689
− Mortgage interest
−$20,627
− Property taxes
−$5,524
− Insurance
−$1,841
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,535
− Management
−$2,535
− Depreciation
−$10,713
Taxable loss
−$12,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,901
After-tax cash flow
$-2,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,610–$25,830 screening

This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior walls and cleaning the air filters can further enhance its value.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good Flooring tile Counters granite Appliances stainless steel HVAC central · new lt5

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Inspect and clean the air filters — Improves HVAC efficiency and indoor air quality, which can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 55/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary East Elementary School B+ FL #435/2,144 Nat'l #4,272/41,679 Middle Punta Gorda Middle School C+ FL #209/571 Nat'l #2,873/14,009 High Charlotte High School D- FL #228/667 Nat'l #6,809/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Punta Gorda

Score
76/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#3567

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 198,646 people
City population
68,831
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,399
Household income
$76,943
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…