🏗️ New Construction
Palm Plan · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$282,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ryan Homes at Heritage Station features new single-family homes in a gated community with NO CDD fees. Choose your designer interior features with options for water and nature view homesites. Priced from the mid $200s. The Palm single-family home is purely amazing. 4 spacious bedrooms and a full bath offer all the space you need for family and friends to enjoy quiet comfort. Get everyone together in your great room for game night. Or gather around your dining table and center island for a mouthwatering homemade meal, fresh from the gorgeous gourmet kitchen. Enjoy some fresh air outside on your lovely lanai. Then call it a night and step into your luxurious owner's suite.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Great room
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $283k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-459 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1866 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.34%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $368,243
- List price
- $282,990
- Delta
- -23.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25572 Calusa Dr | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,722 (0%) | 5mo | $309,640 | $180 | 95 |
| 25575 Calusa Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,876 (+9%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $171 | 81 |
| 25488 Calusa Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (+8%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $194 | 76 |
| 25220 Calusa Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,875 (+9%) | 10mo | $390,000 | $208 | 64 |
| 16154 Galiano Ct | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,786 (+4%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 16088 Quiche Ct | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (+5%) | 5mo | $317,900 | $176 | 58 |
| 16096 Quiche Ct | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (+5%) | 9mo | $313,500 | $173 | 55 |
| 16040 Galiano Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,914 (+11%) | 6mo | $329,900 | $172 | 53 |
| 16074 Overdale Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,651 (-4%) | 2mo | $281,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 16256 Alcira Cir | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,818 (+6%) | 6mo | $299,990 | $165 | 52 |
| 25238 Cadiz Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (+5%) | 10mo | $319,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 24377 Treasure Island Blvd | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,865 (+8%) | 6mo | $725,000 | $389 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-88,841
- Equity at exit
- $54,906
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-114,811
- Equity at exit
- $31,839
Cash invested: $103,108 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 45 active · 22 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.2 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $338,990 ($186/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 140 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1866
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,641 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,931
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$460 /mo · $5,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$153
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $-459
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-204 | -5% $-331 | +0% $-459 | +5% $-586 | +10% $-713 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-667 | -5% $-563 | +0% $-459 | +5% $-354 | +10% $-250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-273 | -0.5pp $-365 | base $-459 | +0.5pp $-554 | +1.0pp $-651 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,061
- Closing costs
- $11,047
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25186 Alicante Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 116d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 116d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 14897 Cherry Blossom Way Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2046 | $9,000 | $4.40 | 116d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 116d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 16147 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,795 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16265 Alcira Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2032 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 116d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 116d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 25110 Alcazar Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2020 | $1,995 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14649 Sycamore Ct #2912 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,000 | $4.02 | 116d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 14656 Sycamore Ct #3211 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,000 | $4.02 | 116d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14185 Poppy Field Loop #5421 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $6,500 | $3.08 | 116d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14201 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1338 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $6,000 | $4.61 | 116d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14680 Sycamore Ct #3722 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $4,000 | $1.90 | 116d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14161 Poppy Field Loop #5811 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $4,200 | $2.41 | 116d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14149 Poppy Field Loop #6011 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,500 | $3.73 | 116d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,749 | $1.59 | 116d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14161 Heritage Landing Blvd #1121 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14132 Poppy Field Loop #4021 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,800 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 14073 Black Beauty Dr #1012 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,000 | $4.02 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16195 Maya Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2077 | $2,495 | $1.20 | 109d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 25904 Prada Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,111 | $1.08 | 109d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 25377 Doredo Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 116d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 25222 Keygrass Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $5,000 | $2.23 | 116d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14061 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $6,500 | $4.99 | 116d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 14051 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $6,000 | $4.69 | 116d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 25115 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2245 | $8,500 | $3.79 | 116d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located at 25572 Calusa Dr, Punta Gorda FL 33955Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- Listing price $279,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
- Utilities
- Central air (electric)
- Home design
- Plan named "Palm"New construction plan
- Exterior features
- Living area of 1,722
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Central air conditioning
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $282,990 Active 321 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $282,990 Active 320 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $282,990 Active 319 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $282,990 Active 318 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $282,990 Active 317 DOM
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2026-09-17pricedays on market $282,990 Active 315 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $279,990 Active 314 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $279,990 Active 313 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $279,990 Active 312 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $279,990 Active 311 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $279,990 Active 310 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $279,990 Active 309 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $279,990 Active 303 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $279,990 Active 302 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $279,990 Active 297 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $279,990 Active 296 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $279,990 Active 295 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $279,990 Active 294 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $279,990 Active 293 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $279,990 Active 292 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $279,990 Active 290 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $279,990 Active 289 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $279,990 Active 288 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $279,990 Active 287 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $279,990 Active 286 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $279,990 Active 285 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $279,990 Active 284 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $279,990 Active 283 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $279,990 Active 282 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $279,990 Active 281 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $279,990 Active 280 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $279,990 Active 279 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $279,990 Active 278 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $279,990 Active 277 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $279,990 Active 276 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $279,990 Active 275 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $279,990 Active 274 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $279,990 Active 273 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $279,990 Active 272 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $279,990 Active 271 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $279,990 Active 270 DOM
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2026-08-01days on market $279,990 Active 267 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $279,990 Active 265 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $279,990 Active 263 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $279,990 Active 260 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $279,990 Active 259 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $279,990 Active 258 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $279,990 Active 257 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $279,990 Active 254 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $279,990 Active 252 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,689
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,627
- − Property taxes
- −$5,524
- − Insurance
- −$1,841
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,535
- − Management
- −$2,535
- − Depreciation
- −$10,713
- Taxable loss
- −$12,086
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,901
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,603/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior walls and cleaning the air filters can further enhance its value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Inspect and clean the air filters — Improves HVAC efficiency and indoor air quality, which can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 198,646 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…