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4013 Baldwin St
C+ Composite 64.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,900

4013 Baldwin St · Detroit, MI 48214
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,308 sqft · Townhouse public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1905 3,485 sqft lot $37/sqft · 6% above area Est $81k · 6% over ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This duplex-style multi-family property offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two spacious units, each featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms. With a total living area of 2,308 square feet, this two-story home provides ample space for tenants while generating strong rental income potential. Built in 1905, the property retains its classic charm while offering modern conveniences such as forced air heating with natural gas. The home includes a full basement with 622 square feet of additional space, ideal for storage or potential customization. Situated in the E C Van Husans subdivision of Detroit, this duplex is located on a 30 x 118 lot (0.08 acres) within the Detroit School District. Its prime location ensures easy access to major highways, public transportation, and local amenities, making it a desirable option for long-term rental success. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking an income-generating property, this duplex presents an excellent opportunity.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905
  • Listed 29 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,684/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,611 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
17.06%
Cash-on-cash
38.46%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,392
List price
$85,900
Delta
5.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$35,180
Equity at exit
$12,808
10-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$93,871
Equity at exit
$7,427

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48214

Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,684 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$450
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $881/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $708
Max offer price $85,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,475
Closing costs
$2,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3631 Helen St Unit 3635 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2157 $1,650 $0.76 44d 1 0.44mi
1738 Canton St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 2244 $1,650 $0.74 44d 1 1.15mi
4510 Harding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2394 $1,500 $0.63 17d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1021 chars)

    This duplex-style multi-family property offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two spacious units, each featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms. With a total living area of 2,308 square feet, this two-story home provides ample space for tenants while generating strong rental income potential. Built in 1905, the property retains its classic charm while offering modern conveniences such as forced air heating with natural gas. The home includes a full basement with 622 square feet of additional space, ideal for storage or potential customization. Situated in the E C Van Husans subdivision of Detroit, this duplex is located on a 30 x 118 lot (0.08 acres) within the Detroit School District. Its prime location ensures easy access to major highways, public transportation, and local amenities, making it a desirable option for long-term rental success. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking an income-generating property, this duplex presents an excellent opportunity.

  2. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1021 chars)

    This duplex-style multi-family property offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two spacious units, each featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms. With a total living area of 2,308 square feet, this two-story home provides ample space for tenants while generating strong rental income potential. Built in 1905, the property retains its classic charm while offering modern conveniences such as forced air heating with natural gas. The home includes a full basement with 622 square feet of additional space, ideal for storage or potential customization. Situated in the E C Van Husans subdivision of Detroit, this duplex is located on a 30 x 118 lot (0.08 acres) within the Detroit School District. Its prime location ensures easy access to major highways, public transportation, and local amenities, making it a desirable option for long-term rental success. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking an income-generating property, this duplex presents an excellent opportunity.

  3. 2026-04-07
    listed $85,900 Active 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1021 chars)

    This duplex-style multi-family property offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two spacious units, each featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms. With a total living area of 2,308 square feet, this two-story home provides ample space for tenants while generating strong rental income potential. Built in 1905, the property retains its classic charm while offering modern conveniences such as forced air heating with natural gas. The home includes a full basement with 622 square feet of additional space, ideal for storage or potential customization. Situated in the E C Van Husans subdivision of Detroit, this duplex is located on a 30 x 118 lot (0.08 acres) within the Detroit School District. Its prime location ensures easy access to major highways, public transportation, and local amenities, making it a desirable option for long-term rental success. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking an income-generating property, this duplex presents an excellent opportunity.

  4. 2026-04-07
    listed $85,900 Active 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1021 chars)

    This duplex-style multi-family property offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two spacious units, each featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms. With a total living area of 2,308 square feet, this two-story home provides ample space for tenants while generating strong rental income potential. Built in 1905, the property retains its classic charm while offering modern conveniences such as forced air heating with natural gas. The home includes a full basement with 622 square feet of additional space, ideal for storage or potential customization. Situated in the E C Van Husans subdivision of Detroit, this duplex is located on a 30 x 118 lot (0.08 acres) within the Detroit School District. Its prime location ensures easy access to major highways, public transportation, and local amenities, making it a desirable option for long-term rental success. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking an income-generating property, this duplex presents an excellent opportunity.

  5. 2026-03-21
    historical
  6. 2026-03-21
    historical
  7. 2026-02-27
    listed $90,000 Active
  8. 2026-02-27
    listed $90,000 Active
  9. 2025-06-13
    historical
  10. 2025-06-12
    status Active
  11. 2025-02-05
    status Pending
  12. 2025-02-05
    status Pending
  13. 2025-02-05
    historical
  14. 2025-01-31
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  15. 2025-01-31
    historical Active Under Contract
  16. 2025-01-30
    listed $90,000 Active
  17. 2025-01-29
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$881 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,102 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,210
− Mortgage interest
−$4,812
− Property taxes
−$881
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− Depreciation
−$2,499
Taxable income
$8,356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,005
After-tax cash flow
$7,245/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,595
Household income
$33,544
Rent vs Own
59.0% rent · 41.0% own
Severe rent burden
1364.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -367.43%
Current HPI
102.0969
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $85,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $85,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-31 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-31 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-29 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $881 · -45.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…