406 Highland Street St · Olin, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$12,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Alert! Yes, needs work but less than a used car! One bedroom on the main floor along with kitchen/dining and living and the one bathroom. Upper level has two bedrooms with one being a pass through. Detached garage features room for a workshop. SOLD in AS IS condition.
Key facts
- Kitchen dining
- Workshop
- Main floor
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; R-1 zoning; Lot approximately 73 x 140 (0.24 acres)
- Construction: Masonite siding; Shingle roof; Partially finished basement with interior entry
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Storage structure on property; Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $12k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#721 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Olin Consolidated School District (rural): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #320 of 330 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $802 of equity ($86 loan paydown + $716 appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Jones County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 72.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 238.04%
- DSCR
- 11.59
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,742
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Highland Street St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,094 (0%) | 0mo | $15,000 | $14 | 95 |
| 200 E 2nd St St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,232 (+13%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $93 | 52 |
| 110 Midway St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+12%) | 17mo | $168,000 | $137 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.61×
- Total profit
- $47,636
- Equity at exit
- $7,646
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 31.16×
- Total profit
- $105,567
- Equity at exit
- $13,685
Cash invested: $3,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52320
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$66
- Tax from tax record
- −$5 /mo · $56/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $694
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $701 | -5% $698 | +0% $694 | +5% $691 | +10% $687 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $617 | -5% $656 | +0% $694 | +5% $733 | +10% $771 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $697 | base $694 | +0.5pp $691 | +1.0pp $688 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,125
- Closing costs
- $375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-08$12,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $56 · $5/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $126 · $11/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 125.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$700
- − Property taxes
- −$56
- − Insurance
- −$62
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$364
- Taxable income
- $8,639
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,073
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olin Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921720
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,473
- Composite
- 45.08/100
- National rank
- #5829
- State rank
- #320 of 330 in IA
Livability — Olin
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #721
- US rank
- #16679
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olin, IA
- City population
- 1,243
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,243
Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,023 people
- By 2030
- 19,702 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 19,007 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 18,396 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 17,955 · -10.3%
- By 2100
- 17,448 · -12.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Iranian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jones
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.0% · R 62.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: -26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.3 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+19.4 2012: D+7.7 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.73%
- Current HPI
- 155.6929
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-08 Listed $12,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
-25.2%/yrLatest (2025): $56 · -64.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…