20305 SW 70th Ave · Tualatin, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A great opportunity to bring this spacious one level home on a 10,000+ square foot lot back to life. Whether you are looking for your next project to flip or a project to make your own, this home has a ton of upside potential. Located in a well established neighborhood in Tualatin, with quick access to shopping, dining, and freeway. Bring your imagination and your tool belt, this one is sure to get snagged quickly!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1979
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 0.17 acres (7,000–9,999 sq ft range)
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Gas fuel; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition; Main level living area of 1,813 (public record)
- Construction: Built in 1979; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Wood siding; Paved road access; Public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); 2nd bedroom (Main level); 3rd bedroom (Main level)
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (all on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Crawl space basement; Sunken living room; Family room; Dining room; Great room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-188 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (9.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.6% in Tualatin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in OR, #355 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bridgeport Elementary School (math 30% / reading 75%, grade C-, #90 of 412 statewide, top 22%, 471 students, 44% FRL); Hazelbrook Middle School (math 54% / reading 62%, grade B, #20 of 128 statewide, top 15%, 877 students, 35% FRL); Tualatin High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 1,747 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $350k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.31%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $585,599
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20305 SW 70th Ave | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,813 (0%) | 0mo | $432,000 | $238 | 91 |
| 20124 SW 69th St | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,869 (+3%) | 7mo | $570,000 | $305 | 79 |
| 20023 SW 71st Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (-7%) | 9mo | $480,105 | $284 | 73 |
| 20227 SW 71st Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (-9%) | 8mo | $555,000 | $336 | 69 |
| 7010 SW Barr Ln | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,908 (+5%) | 10mo | $650,000 | $341 | 53 |
| 7247 SW Tenino Ln | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 | 2,071 (+14%) | 20mo | $636,000 | $307 | 49 |
| 21132 SW Martinazzi Ave | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 1,876 (+4%) | 11mo | $570,000 | $304 | 47 |
| 5785 SW Calusa Loop | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,986 (+10%) | 10mo | $664,255 | $334 | 41 |
| 8320 SW Chelan St | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 | 1,994 (+10%) | 10mo | $585,000 | $293 | 41 |
| 19752 SW 57th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,951 (+8%) | 14mo | $630,000 | $323 | 37 |
| 5756 SW Joshua St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,921 (+6%) | 23mo | $700,000 | $364 | 37 |
| 21710 SW 75th Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,923 (+6%) | 22mo | $1,030,000 | $536 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-77,008
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -29.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-114,573
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97062
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,853 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$461 /mo · $5,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $-188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-188 | +5% $-287 | +10% $-386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-414 | -5% $-301 | +0% $-188 | +5% $-76 | +10% $37 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-12 | -0.5pp $-99 | base $-188 | +0.5pp $-279 | +1.0pp $-371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20109 SW 71st Ave Tualatin, OR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 6655 SW Nyberg Ln Tualatin, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,825 | $3.02 | 3d | 5 | 0.73mi |
| 20310 SW Boones Ferry Rd Tualatin, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,975 | $1.94 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18049 SW Lower Boones Ferry Rd King City, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $3,372 | $3.46 | 3d | 20 | 1.30mi |
| 9215 SW Sweek Dr Tualatin, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-20$350,000 Active
-
1982-03-01soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,528 · $461/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,528 · $461/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$5,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,739
- − Management
- −$2,739
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$8,309
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,994
- After-tax cash flow
- $-265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
- NCES district ID
- 4112240
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,739
- Composite
- 48.72/100
- National rank
- #2100
- State rank
- #6 of 58 in OR
Livability — Tualatin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #355
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tualatin, OR
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- City population
- 28,930
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,930
- Household income
- $105,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1218.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 14% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -346.49%
- Current HPI
- 279.0431
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.03%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+324.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $350,000 RMLS
- 1982-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,528 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…