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3319 NW 20th St
B Composite 74.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$90,000

3319 NW 20th St · Gainesville, FL 32443
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 754 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1948 0.31 ac lot ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Make an appointment to view this old home on a beautiful corner lot. This 1948 frame home is a possible renovation. In addition, this home is located on 2 city lots for those interested in investment properties.

Key facts

  • 2 city lots
  • Corner lot
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOT2 CITY LOTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $85 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-537 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.63%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$14,533
Equity at exit
$23,479
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$47,290
Equity at exit
$26,183

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32443

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,749/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $935
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $333 +0% $307 +5% $282 +10% $256
Rent -10% $203 -5% $255 +0% $307 +5% $360 +10% $412
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $330 base $307 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    price $90,000
  3. 2026-02-01
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,749 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,749 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,886
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$2,749
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,271
− Management
−$1,271
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$597
After-tax cash flow
$3,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alachua
NCES district ID
1200030
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,683
Composite
43.31/100
National rank
#3038
State rank
#30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gainesville

Score
81/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#1480

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gainesville, FL
City population
188,348
Population (ZIP)
2,739

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
289,834 people
By 2030
305,873 · +5.5%
By 2040
335,246 · +15.7%
By 2050
364,719 · +25.8%
By 2075
436,665 · +50.7%
By 2100
482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
174.7486
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Pending DGLMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $90,000 DGLMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $145,000 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,749 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…