3012 Legend Dr · Meraux, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location, Location! This well maintained 3BR/2BA home with a dedicated home office offers a functional layout and qualifies for 100% financing. The spacious living room features high ceilings, skylights, a cozy brick-hearth fireplace, and built-in shelving. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas range/oven, dishwasher, and adjoining breakfast area. A large utility/mud room adds everyday convenience. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private en-suite bath. Hard-surface flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. Additional highlights include foam spray insulation, a decked attic, a 2023 50-gallon water heater, and a roof approximately 5 years old. Outside, enjoy an attached garage, fenced backyard with covered patio, storage shed, and rear yard access with extra parking. Situated in a preferred flood zone and located within an established school district, this home combines comfort, efficiency, and convenience in a highly desirable location.
Key facts
- High ceilings
- Granite countertops
- Skylights
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-507/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Meraux — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#152 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $230k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.45%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,894
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -0.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2817 Meadow Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (-2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $171 | 84 |
| 3124 Fable Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-1%) | 12mo | $212,000 | $150 | 83 |
| 3305 Nancy St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-4%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $189 | 78 |
| 2813 Meadow Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-7%) | 5mo | $224,000 | $169 | 70 |
| 2816 Maureen Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,271 (-11%) | 16mo | $199,500 | $157 | 59 |
| 2045 Margaret Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,505 (+6%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 92 Jupiter Cir | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,514 (+6%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $129 | 51 |
| 7504 Birch St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+3%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 2404 Francis Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (-12%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $107 | 48 |
| 2332 Francis Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (+13%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 2101 Margaret Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,611 (+13%) | 1mo | $272,000 | $169 | 45 |
| 65 Jupiter Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $84 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-40,021
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-38,623
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70075
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,747 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $654/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 Francis St Violet, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10002 Claiborne St Violet, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,875 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2004 Webster St Meraux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $229,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$235,000 Active 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Location, Location, Location! This well maintained 3BR/2BA home with a dedicated home office offers a functional layout and qualifies for 100% financing. The spacious living room features high ceilings, skylights, a cozy brick-hearth fireplace, and built-in shelving. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas range/oven, dishwasher, and adjoining breakfast area. A large utility/mud room adds everyday convenience. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private en-suite bath. Hard-surface flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. Additional highlights include foam spray insulation, a decked attic, a 2023 50-gallon water heater, and a roof approximately 5 years old. Outside, enjoy an attached garage, fenced backyard with covered patio, storage shed, and rear yard access with extra parking. Situated in a preferred flood zone and located within an established school district, this home combines comfort, efficiency, and convenience in a highly desirable location.
-
2026-04-22$235,000 Active 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Location, Location, Location! This well maintained 3BR/2BA home with a dedicated home office offers a functional layout and qualifies for 100% financing. The spacious living room features high ceilings, skylights, a cozy brick-hearth fireplace, and built-in shelving. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas range/oven, dishwasher, and adjoining breakfast area. A large utility/mud room adds everyday convenience. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private en-suite bath. Hard-surface flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. Additional highlights include foam spray insulation, a decked attic, a 2023 50-gallon water heater, and a roof approximately 5 years old. Outside, enjoy an attached garage, fenced backyard with covered patio, storage shed, and rear yard access with extra parking. Situated in a preferred flood zone and located within an established school district, this home combines comfort, efficiency, and convenience in a highly desirable location.
-
2015-09-17soldstatus $118,000
-
2015-09-15soldstatus $118,000 Sold
-
2015-07-28status Under Contract
-
2015-07-20$115,000 Active
-
2015-07-20$115,000
-
2000-08-11soldstatus $101,000
-
2000-08-09soldstatus $101,000
-
2000-04-21$105,000
-
2000-04-21$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $654 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,264 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$610/yr (+$51/mo · 93.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$654
- − Insurance
- −$1,947
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,677
- − Management
- −$1,677
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$4,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Meraux
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #152
- US rank
- #13001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meraux, LA
- City population
- 5,349
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,349
Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,513 people
- By 2030
- 77,768 · +16.9%
- By 2040
- 101,296 · +52.3%
- By 2050
- 125,770 · +89.1%
- By 2075
- 188,160 · +182.9%
- By 2100
- 239,339 · +259.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Scottish 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.56%
- Current HPI
- 190.054
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+123.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $235,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-22 Listed $235,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-15 Sold (MLS) $118,000 GSREIN
- 2015-07-28 Pending — GSREIN
- 2015-07-20 Listed $115,000 GSREIN
- 2015-07-20 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2000-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-09 Sold (MLS) $101,000 GSREIN
- 2000-04-21 Listed $105,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2000-04-21 Listed $105,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
-5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $654 · -63.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…