Duplex
201 S Bluff · Montebello, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Attention savvy investors, come see this duplex that can be a great investment opportunity. This duplex features a 2 bedroom 1 bath and a 1 bedroom 1 bath. Located in the prime city of Montebello, you're just minutes from downtown LA. Come make an offer before it's gone!!
Key facts
- 4,259 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1957
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total building area listed as 1,310
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $31,200; Gross income: $31,200; Net operating income: $31,000; Operating expense: $1,200; Expenses include insurance ($2,000) and trash ($50); total expenses listed $2,050; Unit rents listed: one unit $1,000; one unit $1,600
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: One unit has an attached 2-car garage; Property totals 1 garage space listed and 1 parking space listed (unit-specific garage spaces noted)
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water; One separate water meter; Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters
- Home design: Attached property; Single-story building; Property faces front (entry at front)
- Construction: Year built per assessor; One building with 2 total units; One common wall
- Exterior features: Yard; No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: One unit with 1 bedroom; One unit with 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Front entry; Single-story entry
- Laundry & utility: No in-unit laundry listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $499k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $566/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $499k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.3% in Montebello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#693 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
- Montebello Unified (suburban): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #419 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,252/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 3045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.73%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $780,760
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 W Los Angeles Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+5%) | 9mo | $820,000 | $596 | 70 |
| 4640 Myrtle St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,273 (-3%) | 15mo | $680,000 | $534 | 59 |
| 316 N Poplar Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-4%) | 15mo | $768,000 | $612 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $1,524
- Equity at exit
- $74,403
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $138,051
- Equity at exit
- $43,144
Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90640
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,252 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,617
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,103
- Net cashflow
- $1,132
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $5,252 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,626 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,626 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,252 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,750
- Closing costs
- $14,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 S 5th St Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 128 N 1st St Apt D Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $2,500 | $2.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 140 E Whittier Blvd Montebello, CA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–4.0 | 1742 | $3,960 | $2.27 | 1d | 6 | 0.28mi |
| 205 S 7th St Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $3,300 | $2.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 892 W Mines Ave Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,150 | $2.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 428 N 6th St Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $3,200 | $2.89 | 7d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 512 N 2nd St Unit 4 Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 260 E Beverly Blvd Unit C Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1289 | $3,595 | $2.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 612 N 4th St Montebello, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $3,800 | $2.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 637 Wilber Pl Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1087 | $3,350 | $3.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8812 Beverly Rd Pico Rivera, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $4,700 | $3.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 955 S Bluff Rd Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,200 | $2.46 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 608 N Taylor Ave Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1221 W Lincoln Ave Montebello, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,750 | $2.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1301 W Lincoln Ave Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,500 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8813 Gallatin Rd #102 Pico Rivera, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1495 | $3,600 | $2.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8813 Gallatin Rd #101 Pico Rivera, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1578 | $3,700 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4200 Rosemead Blvd Pico Rivera, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,745 | $2.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8936 Gallatin Rd Pico Rivera, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $3,325 | $2.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 716 Date St Unit 716 Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,995 | $3.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 716 Date St Montebello, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,995 | $3.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $499,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 272-char remark
-
2026-06-09$499,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,304 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,792 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,488/yr (+$124/mo · 64.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,952
- − Property taxes
- −$2,304
- − Insurance
- −$2,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,042
- − Management
- −$5,042
- − Depreciation
- −$14,516
- Taxable income
- $5,673
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,362
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montebello Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625470
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,250
- Composite
- 21.13/100
- National rank
- #8433
- State rank
- #419 of 517 in CA
Livability — Montebello
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #693
- US rank
- #21068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montebello, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 61,382
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,382
- Household income
- $79,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3045.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 19% Asian 13% White 6% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 28% English-only · Spanish 58% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -812.47%
- Current HPI
- 366.3118
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.94%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-19.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $499,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-17 Listed $620,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,304 · +20.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…