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210 W Lincoln St
C- Composite 51.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

210 W Lincoln St · Geneva, IN 46740
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1965 6,098 sqft lot $133/sqft · 15% below area Est $135k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 864 sq ft of living space on a 6,098 sq ft lot in Geneva, IN. Currently tenant-occupied, this property provides immediate income potential and a functional, easy-to-maintain layout. The home features a metal roof installed within the last few years and a newer water heater, helping reduce near-term maintenance concerns. With a straightforward floor plan and manageable size, the property offers potential for light cosmetic updates to enhance overall appeal. Located in a quiet area with consistent housing demand, this home presents an opportunity for buyers seeking a property with flexibility and long-term potential. Whether for personal use or as an i

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Income potential
  • Newer water heater

Tags

METAL ROOFNEWER WATER HEATERINCOME POTENTIALQUIET AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; Single story
  • Exterior features: Metal roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-566/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (25.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#103 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • South Adams Schools (town): math 50% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #92 of 301 in IN (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $85,713 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.76%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,080
List price
$115,000
Delta
-14.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
315 W Butcher St 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 757 (-12%) 11mo $95,000 $125 59
120 Holly Ln 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+11%) 22mo $135,000 $141 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$31,432
Equity at exit
$73,640
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$94,426
Equity at exit
$134,719

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46740

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$857 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $880/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $917
Max offer price $106,664
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $115,000 Active 1120-char remark
  17. 2019-06-20
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$880 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$929 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$49/yr (+$4/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,286
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$880
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$823
− Management
−$823
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$2,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$625
After-tax cash flow
$58/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Adams Schools
NCES district ID
1810260
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$42,024
Composite
39.16/100
National rank
#4029
State rank
#92 of 301 in IN

Livability — Geneva

Score
73/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#5517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Geneva, IN
Population (ZIP)
4,766

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,772 people
By 2030
32,927 · -2.5%
By 2040
31,349 · -7.2%
By 2050
29,447 · -12.8%
By 2075
24,062 · -28.8%
By 2100
18,126 · -46.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · German/W. Germanic 46% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 22.8% · R 75.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -25.7pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+52.5 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+25.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.19%
Current HPI
250.9013
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $115,000 RRELMS
  • 2019-06-20 Listed $55,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $880 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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