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1430 S 8th St
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,900

1430 S 8th St · Springfield, IL 62703
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,391 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1900 Poor condition 6,130 sqft lot $15/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW PRICE::::Come check out this opportunity to own a 3BR home with a complete tear off of a NEW ROOF installed August of 2024 with transferrable warranty! Entire property now available for sale on a corner lot conveniently located less than 1 block off of South Grand Ave. Free standing 1.5-story property zoned B-1 currently, but seller is willing to go through the steps to re-zone the property to residential prior to closing. Many possibilities! Offers 3 entrances to be able to split as needed. Some TLC needed on the interior. Shed in the back will stay!

Key facts

  • Shed in the back
  • 3 entrances
  • Zoned b-1

Tags

NEW ROOFCORNER LOTZONED B-13 ENTRANCESSHED IN THE BACK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned B-1

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage spaces; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Multiple levels including main, upper, lower, basement, and additional level; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Shed(s); Paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 13 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedroom sizes: ~14 x 13; 12 x 12; 13 x 14.5) — bedrooms located on upper and main levels; egress windows in upper-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 half bathrooms, no full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.9% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.2%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,376 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.73%
Cap rate
42.88%
Cash-on-cash
130.66%
DSCR
6.81
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,663
List price
$34,900
Delta
-60.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1700 S 7th St 0.18mi 2/2.5 (-1) 2,372 (-1%) 19mo $80,000 $34 65
1915 S 6th St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,142 (-10%) 8mo $55,000 $26 50
2021 S 6th St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,320 (-3%) 19mo $22,000 $9 50
1728 S Spring St 0.64mi 3/1.5 2,056 (-14%) 2mo $142,000 $69 45
2040 S 5th St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,184 (-9%) 9mo $36,000 $16 45
104 W Allen St 0.57mi 3/1.0 2,208 (-8%) 21mo $98,000 $44 41
2104 S 4th St 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,132 (-11%) 19mo $165,900 $78 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.25×
Total profit
$70,869
Equity at exit
$5,204
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.32×
Total profit
$188,815
Equity at exit
$3,018

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62703

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$1,064

Break-even live

Break-even rent $305
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1213 E Ash St Springfield, IL 3.0 2.0 1861 $2,030 $1.09 21d 1 0.54mi
922 Governor St Springfield, IL 3.0 1.0 1682 $1,200 $0.71 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $34,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $34,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $34,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $34,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $34,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $34,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $34,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $34,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $34,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $34,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-12
    listed $44,900 Active 561-char remark
  12. 2026-03-12
    historical
  13. 2025-10-30
    price
  14. 2025-05-28
    listed Active
  15. 2000-12-12
    historical
  16. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $58,000
  17. 1996-08-26
    listed $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,826
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$12,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,117
After-tax cash flow
$9,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and exterior paint, to become move-in ready and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major siding — Severe weathering and peeling
  • Major roof — Old and worn
  • Major exterior paint — Peeling and poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair and paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Critical for structural integrity and value
  • Both repair and paint interior — Improves livability and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
siding · Severe weathering and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
roof · Old and worn Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Peeling and poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both repair and paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Critical for structural integrity and value
  • Both repair and paint interior — Improves livability and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 186
NCES district ID
1737080
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,744
Composite
16.89/100
National rank
#9142
State rank
#438 of 620 in IL

Livability — Springfield

Score
79/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#2138

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, IL
County
Sangamon County · 115,414 people
City population
59,955
Metro
Springfield, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,922
Household income
$45,009
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1626.0

Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,317 people
By 2030
196,127 · -1.1%
By 2040
188,664 · -4.9%
By 2050
179,624 · -9.4%
By 2075
155,027 · -21.8%
By 2100
122,588 · -38.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 35% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.69%
Current HPI
147.0877
Rent YoY
▲ 12.19%
Metro
Springfield, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-12 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (MLS) $58,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-08-26 Listed $61,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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