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14550 SE 91st Ave
C- Composite 50.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

14550 SE 91st Ave · The Villages, FL 34491
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 920 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1991 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is being sold as-is, the mobile home does not convey with the sale. It will be up to the buyer to address after the closing. Sale is for the land only.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Near shopping
  • New hvac

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW ROOFNEW HVACINCLUDED APPLIANCESNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot size about 0.17 acre (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Fiber optics
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawlspace
  • Exterior features: Sliding doors; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Crawlspace foundation
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (3.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harbour View Elementary School (math 41% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 819 students, 71% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 705 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $160k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,086 (3.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.17%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,240
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9352 SE 143rd Ln 0.32mi 2/2.0 924 (+0%) 5mo $134,000 $145 80
8956 SE 143rd Ln 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,028 (+12%) 2mo $99,900 $97 68
9195 SE 142nd Pl 0.37mi 2/2.0 784 (-15%) 3mo $52,500 $67 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-13,653
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,854
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34491

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,517/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,306
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8957 SE 144th St Summerfield, FL 2.0 1.0 672 $1,100 $1.64 21d 1 0.23mi
16152 SE 77th Ct Summerfield, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1140 $1,890 $1.66 13d 15 1.31mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    listed $160,000 Active
  17. 2024-05-30
    soldstatus $45,500 Closed 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    The property is being sold as-is, the mobile home does not convey with the sale. It will be up to the buyer to address after the closing. Sale is for the land only.

  18. 2024-05-10
    status Pending 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    The property is being sold as-is, the mobile home does not convey with the sale. It will be up to the buyer to address after the closing. Sale is for the land only.

  19. 2024-05-10
    listed $49,900 Active 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    The property is being sold as-is, the mobile home does not convey with the sale. It will be up to the buyer to address after the closing. Sale is for the land only.

  20. 2024-05-01
    status Pending
  21. 2024-05-01
    historical
  22. 2024-04-01
    listed $49,900 Active
  23. 2022-08-31
    historical
  24. 2022-08-09
    listed $59,900 Active
  25. 2022-04-27
    historical
  26. 2022-02-24
    status Active
  27. 2022-02-11
    status Pending
  28. 2022-02-09
    status Active
  29. 2022-02-04
    status Pending
  30. 2021-07-12
    status Active
  31. 2021-06-18
    status Pending
  32. 2021-04-27
    listed $67,500 Active
  33. 2005-06-17
    soldstatus $60,000
  34. 2005-06-01
    soldstatus $60,000
  35. 2005-05-10
    listed $60,000
  36. 1987-01-01
    soldstatus $6,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,517 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,517 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,610
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,517
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$72
After-tax cash flow
$2,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
83,973
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,318
Household income
$66,679
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
256.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.67%
Current HPI
200.0792
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2361.5% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $45,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-10 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-01 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-01 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-09 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-27 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-24 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-11 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-09 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-04 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-27 Listed $67,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-17 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-10 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,517 · +16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…