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7957 30th Ave
B- Composite 68.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,999

7957 30th Ave · Evart, MI 49631
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily · 378 Days on market
2.00 ac lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 acres of rural land for sale in Evart, offering a rustic setting and plenty of potential. The property includes a house and two trailers, all of which require major renovation or possible removal. Perfect for investors, builders, or those looking for a project in the countryside. Peaceful location with room to create your ideal setup. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Peaceful location
  • Major renovation
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

MAJOR RENOVATIONPEACEFUL LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($839 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.4% in Evart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#262 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Evart Public Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 378 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $30,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 378 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
20.72%
Cash-on-cash
51.53%
DSCR
3.29
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$21,143
Equity at exit
$5,218
10-year hold
IRR
54.9%
Equity multiple
6.41×
Total profit
$52,974
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49631

Home prices YoY
-9.8%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$839 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $34,999
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $433 +0% $421 +5% $409 +10% $397
Rent -10% $355 -5% $388 +0% $421 +5% $454 +10% $487
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $430 base $421 +0.5pp $412 +1.0pp $403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $34,999 Active 378 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $34,999 Pending 376 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $34,999 Active 375 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $34,999 Active 374 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $34,999 Active 373 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $34,999 Active 371 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $34,999 Active 369 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $34,999 Active 368 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $34,999 Active 367 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $34,999 Active 366 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $34,999 Active 365 DOM
  12. 2026-05-17
    historical
  13. 2026-03-31
    status Active
  14. 2026-03-27
    historical
  15. 2025-11-18
    status Active
  16. 2025-11-18
    status Active
  17. 2025-11-17
    historical
  18. 2025-06-24
    price $34,999
  19. 2025-06-24
    price $34,999
  20. 2025-06-24
    price $34,999
  21. 2025-06-13
    status Active
  22. 2025-06-13
    status Active
  23. 2025-06-09
    status Pending
  24. 2025-06-09
    status Pending
  25. 2025-06-09
    historical
  26. 2025-06-09
    historical
  27. 2025-05-29
    price $39,900
  28. 2025-05-29
    price $39,900
  29. 2025-05-29
    price $39,900
  30. 2025-05-16
    listed $45,000 Active
  31. 2025-05-16
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,066
− Mortgage interest
−$1,960
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$805
− Management
−$805
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$4,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,146
After-tax cash flow
$3,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evart Public Schools
NCES district ID
2613560
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,734
Composite
25.42/100
National rank
#7455
State rank
#367 of 540 in MI

Livability — Evart

Score
72/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#6440

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,646

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,724 people
By 2030
20,769 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,720 · -13.8%
By 2050
16,611 · -23.5%
By 2075
11,942 · -45.0%
By 2100
7,546 · -65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.25%
Current HPI
277.6004
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.2% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-18 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…