7957 30th Ave · Evart, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 acres of rural land for sale in Evart, offering a rustic setting and plenty of potential. The property includes a house and two trailers, all of which require major renovation or possible removal. Perfect for investors, builders, or those looking for a project in the countryside. Peaceful location with room to create your ideal setup. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Peaceful location
- Major renovation
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($839 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.4% in Evart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#262 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Evart Public Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 378 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 378 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.53%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $21,143
- Equity at exit
- $5,218
- IRR
- 54.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.41×
- Total profit
- $52,974
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49631
- Home prices YoY
- -9.8%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $433 | +0% $421 | +5% $409 | +10% $397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $355 | -5% $388 | +0% $421 | +5% $454 | +10% $487 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $438 | -0.5pp $430 | base $421 | +0.5pp $412 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $34,999 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $34,999 Pending 376 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,999 Active 375 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $34,999 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,999 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $34,999 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $34,999 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,999 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,999 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,999 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,999 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-05-17historical
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2026-03-31status Active
-
2026-03-27historical
-
2025-11-18status Active
-
2025-11-18status Active
-
2025-11-17historical
-
2025-06-24price $34,999
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2025-06-24price $34,999
-
2025-06-24price $34,999
-
2025-06-13status Active
-
2025-06-13status Active
-
2025-06-09status Pending
-
2025-06-09status Pending
-
2025-06-09historical
-
2025-06-09historical
-
2025-05-29price $39,900
-
2025-05-29price $39,900
-
2025-05-29price $39,900
-
2025-05-16$45,000 Active
-
2025-05-16$45,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,960
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$805
- − Management
- −$805
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $4,777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evart Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2613560
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,734
- Composite
- 25.42/100
- National rank
- #7455
- State rank
- #367 of 540 in MI
Livability — Evart
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #6440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,646
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,724 people
- By 2030
- 20,769 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 18,720 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 16,611 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 11,942 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 7,546 · -65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.25%
- Current HPI
- 277.6004
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-22.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $34,999 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-06-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-05-16 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-16 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…