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Dogwood IV A Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 49.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$251,990

Dogwood IV A Plan · Sterlington, LA 71280
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily · 992 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Dogwood IV A floor plan by DSLD Homes combines smart design, stylish finishes, and energy-efficient construction to create a home that's both beautiful and practical. With 1,656 square feet of well-utilized living space and a total area of 2,212 square feet, this single-story home offers an open concept layout that flows seamlessly from room to room, making it perfect for family living and entertaining alike. The heart of the home is the thoughtfully designed kitchen, featuring recessed can lighting, ample cabinetry, and a spacious walk-in pantry that adds convenience and storage. The airy living and dining areas are filled with natural light, enhancing the sense of space and comfort throughout the home. The luxurious master suite offers a relaxing retreat with a garden tub, separate walk-in shower, double vanities, and generous walk-in closets. Two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom provide plenty of room for family members or guests. The home's exterior is finished with a classic mix of brick and stucco, giving it long-lasting charm and curb appeal. Outdoor living is just as enjoyable with a covered rear patio-perfect for morning coffee or evening gatherings. A two-car garage adds everyday convenience, while energy-efficient features help reduce monthly utility costs and support a more sustainable lifestyle.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 991 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $251,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $310,859.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $252k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 992 days — a 12% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $221,751 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 992 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.39%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,859
List price
$251,990
Delta
-18.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
403 Bishop Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,656 (0%) 2mo $255,000 $154 90
207 Lynnhaven St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,618 (-2%) 11mo $236,000 $146 80
123 Vieux Carre Pl 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,675 (+1%) 13mo $325,000 $194 75
121 Vieux Carre 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+1%) 15mo $325,000 $193 74
214 Fairhope Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+12%) 0mo $209,000 $113 73
118 Vieux Carre 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+1%) 21mo $325,000 $193 70
107 Vieux Carre 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+9%) 10mo $315,000 $175 68
104 Vieux Carre Pl 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,813 (+10%) 21mo $340,000 $188 60
401 Bishop Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+12%) 16mo $260,000 $141 59
212 Hoover Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (+3%) 12mo $270,000 $158 57
211 Barker Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,838 (+11%) 4mo $290,000 $158 51
202 Thatcher Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,863 (+12%) 4mo $305,000 $164 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$158,304
Equity at exit
$280,046
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.46×
Total profit
$474,932
Equity at exit
$603,930

Cash invested: $87,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
23 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
23.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$268,990 ($144/sqft)
Median days on market
1004 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+30.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 71280

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,630
Tax est. 1.5%
$389 /mo · $4,663/yr
Insurance
$130
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$-173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,719
Max offer price $285,786
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $42 -5% $-66 +0% $-173 +5% $-281 +10% $-388
Rent -10% $-371 -5% $-272 +0% $-173 +5% $-75 +10% $24
Rate -1.0pp $-17 -0.5pp $-94 base $-173 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,715
Closing costs
$9,326
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Lynnhaven St Monroe, LA 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,500 $1.46 93d 1 0.11mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $251,990 Active 992 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $251,990 Active 991 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $251,990 Active 990 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $251,990 Active 989 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $251,990 Active 988 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $251,990 Active 987 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $251,990 Active 984 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $251,990 Active 982 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $251,990 Active 980 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $251,990 Active 978 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $251,990 Active 977 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $251,990 Active 976 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $251,990 Active 975 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $251,990 Active 974 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $251,990 Active 971 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $251,990 Active 969 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $251,990 Active 968 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $251,990 Active 967 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $251,990 Active 966 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $251,990 Active 965 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $251,990 Active 964 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $251,990 Active 963 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $251,990 Active 962 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $251,990 Active 961 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $251,990 Active 960 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $251,990 Active 959 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $251,990 Active 958 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $251,990 Active 957 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $251,990 Active 956 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $251,990 Active 955 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $251,990 Active 954 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $251,990 Active 953 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $251,990 Active 952 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $251,990 Active 951 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $251,990 Active 950 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $251,990 Active 949 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $251,990 Active 947 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $251,990 Active 945 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $251,990 Active 944 DOM
  40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $251,990 Active 942 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $251,990 Active 941 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $251,990 Active 940 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $251,990 Active 939 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $251,990 Active 938 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $251,990 Active 936 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $251,990 Active 935 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $251,990 Active 933 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $251,990 Active 932 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $251,990 Active 931 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $251,990 Active 930 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$17,413
− Property taxes
−$4,663
− Insurance
−$1,554
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$9,043
Taxable loss
−$7,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,794
After-tax cash flow
$-286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,280–$24,840 screening

The home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. Painting the exterior and cleaning the windows can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean the windows — Clean windows can improve natural light and make the home appear more inviting to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sterlington Elementary School B- LA #62/646 Nat'l #7,053/41,679 Middle Sterlington Middle School B- LA #19/218 Nat'l #2,699/14,009 High Sterlington High School F LA #58/265 Nat'l #6,890/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Sterlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#7741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Union · 163,370 people
Metro
Monroe, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,999
Household income
$75,768
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+2.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $251,990 Zillow
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $249,990 Zillow
  • 2023-11-20 Listed $246,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…