6138 Clover St · Crestview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,050
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SEAMLESS FLOW IN THIS OPEN CONCEPT 'CARTER' FLOOR PLAN - ready end of May! Family gathering area overlook cozy dining/kitchen with work island featuring bar seating, corner pantry and quartz countertops. Owner's suite has walk-in closet; bath has double vanities + linen closet. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in common areas, carpet in bedrooms, recessed lighting and ceiling fans thru-out. Rear patio for relaxing in your fully landscaped yard. Finished 2-car-garage, all located on . 34-acre lot in the Auburn area. Photos of similar completed home, elevation/interior/exterior colors will vary.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Walk-in closet
- Work island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (18.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (29.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 688 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.60%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,000
- List price
- $259,050
- Delta
- -2.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6138 Clover St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (0%) | 1mo | $259,050 | $208 | 99 |
| 6134 Clover St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (0%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $209 | 97 |
| 6118 Clover St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (0%) | 4mo | $259,050 | $208 | 93 |
| 6114 Clover St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (0%) | 4mo | $259,050 | $208 | 92 |
| 3365 Auburn Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+2%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $161 | 81 |
| 101 Stephens Ln | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+2%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $150 | 80 |
| 6114 Sonny Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-2%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $204 | 75 |
| 6112 Sonny Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-2%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $202 | 73 |
| 3375 Mclain Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $191 | 71 |
| 6115 Tansey St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (+12%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $190 | 66 |
| 3429 Melissa Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $195 | 59 |
| 6121 Robin Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+7%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $196 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-68,702
- Equity at exit
- $38,625
- IRR
- -46.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-107,542
- Equity at exit
- $22,398
Cash invested: $72,534 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.4 mo (29%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $274,950 ($225/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 92 d
- This list price
- 38% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32539
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 688
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$324 /mo · $3,886/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $-339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-160 | -5% $-249 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-428 | +10% $-518 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-484 | -5% $-411 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-266 | +10% $-194 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-208 | -0.5pp $-273 | base $-339 | +0.5pp $-406 | +1.0pp $-474 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,762
- Closing costs
- $7,772
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6010 Robin Rd Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,150 | $1.20 | 70d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Subdivision: Metes & Bounds
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with 2 spacesGarage door opener
- Security
- Smoke detectors installed
- Utilities
- Electric servicePublic waterSeptic tank
- Home design
- Single-storyCraftsman-style homeEntry and main living areas on the first floor
- Construction
- Shingle roofSiding with brick front and vinyl sidingAluminum and vinyl trimBuilt in 2026
- Exterior features
- Open patioInterior, level lotCounty road frontage on a paved roadLot dimensions ~86 x 177.8
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen located on the first floorKitchen islandMicrowaveDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedroomsPrimary suite on the first floor with carpet and a walk-in closet
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooringCarpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsPrimary bathroom with double vanity and a shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioningCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Vaulted ceilingsKitchen islandRecessed lightingNewly paintedPantryPull-down attic stairsBuilt-in shelvingSplit-bedroom floorplanWasher/dryer hookupDouble-pane windowsDoors with energy-efficient features
- Laundry & utility
- First-floor laundry roomWasher/dryer hookupElectric water heater
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,050 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,050 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$259,050 Active 716-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,511
- − Property taxes
- −$3,886
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,764
- − Management
- −$1,764
- − Depreciation
- −$7,536
- Taxable loss
- −$8,708
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,090
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a good layout and finishes. It is move-in ready and has potential for further value increases with landscaping and smart home features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and patio — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crestview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Okaloosa County · 235,133 people
- City population
- 58,889
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,290
- Household income
- $74,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.52%
- Current HPI
- 261.1557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.12%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $259,050 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…