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305 N 18 1/2 Ave W
D+ Composite 48.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

305 N 18 1/2 Ave W · Duluth, MN 55806
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1888 2,178 sqft lot $171/sqft · 67% above area Est $212k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perched on Goat Hill with sweeping city views and direct access to hiking and mountain biking trails right out your front door, this move-in ready home offers the best of both comfort and location. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom property features a spacious main level with a living room, kitchen, formal dining room, family room, and a half bathroom. Just off the family room, a newly updated deck provides the perfect spot to relax while overlooking the backyard and city. Upstairs, the second floor includes two bedrooms and a full bathroom, while the third floor offers a private additional bedroom—great for guests, an office, or a retreat space. The backyard is designed for both enjoyment and entertaining, complete with scenic views and a cozy fire pit. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the immediate access to nearby trails, including the Enger–Duluth Traverse and the Superior Hiking Trail, just steps from your door. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this exceptional home!

Key facts

  • City views
  • Cozy fire pit
  • Newly updated deck

Tags

CITY VIEWSNEWLY UPDATED DECKCOZY FIRE PIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,085/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 506% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $136k; list at $220k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $208,534 (5.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.63%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,109
List price
$219,900
Delta
3.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
517 N 22nd Ave Ave W 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-3%) 1mo $131,000 $105 78
314 N 19th Ave W 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-6%) 9mo $182,000 $151 77
2203 W 2nd St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,326 (+3%) 6mo $150,000 $113 71
2208 W 8th St 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,348 (+5%) 0mo $205,000 $152 67
2131 W 6th St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,323 (+3%) 13mo $215,000 $163 66
2326 W 2nd St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+5%) 0mo $180,000 $133 66
2629 W 2nd St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,292 (+0%) 0mo $110,000 $85 63
2229 W 7th St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,209 (-6%) 3mo $177,500 $147 62
1721 W 2nd St 0.13mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,164 (-10%) 12mo $230,000 $198 61
2626 W 5th St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,336 (+4%) 11mo $209,000 $156 49
30 N 25th Ave Ave W 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,453 (+13%) 7mo $165,000 $114 42
1015 W 6th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,395 (+8%) 10mo $250,000 $179 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-20,546
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,436
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55806

Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,085 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,982/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,785
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2011 W Superior St Duluth, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 670 $1,844 $2.75 13d 12 0.30mi
1302 W 1st St Apt 1 Duluth, MN 2.0 1.0 942 $1,275 $1.35 43d 1 0.49mi
1302 W 1st St Apt 2 Duluth, MN 2.0 1.0 942 $1,300 $1.38 43d 1 0.49mi
1115 W Michigan St Duluth, MN 2.0 1.0 600 $1,395 $2.33 43d 3 0.66mi
100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1207 $3,999 $3.31 13d 1 1.18mi
100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1209 $3,299 $2.73 21d 7 1.18mi
2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN 3.0 1.5 1072 $3,500 $3.26 43d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Perched on Goat Hill with sweeping city views and direct access to hiking and mountain biking trails right out your front door, this move-in ready home offers the best of both comfort and location. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom property features a spacious main level with a living room, kitchen, formal dining room, family room, and a half bathroom. Just off the family room, a newly updated deck provides the perfect spot to relax while overlooking the backyard and city. Upstairs, the second floor includes two bedrooms and a full bathroom, while the third floor offers a private additional bedroom—great for guests, an office, or a retreat space. The backyard is designed for both enjoyment and entertaining, complete with scenic views and a cozy fire pit. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the immediate access to nearby trails, including the Enger–Duluth Traverse and the Superior Hiking Trail, just steps from your door. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this exceptional home!

  2. 2026-04-18
    listed $219,900 Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Perched on Goat Hill with sweeping city views and direct access to hiking and mountain biking trails right out your front door, this move-in ready home offers the best of both comfort and location. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom property features a spacious main level with a living room, kitchen, formal dining room, family room, and a half bathroom. Just off the family room, a newly updated deck provides the perfect spot to relax while overlooking the backyard and city. Upstairs, the second floor includes two bedrooms and a full bathroom, while the third floor offers a private additional bedroom—great for guests, an office, or a retreat space. The backyard is designed for both enjoyment and entertaining, complete with scenic views and a cozy fire pit. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the immediate access to nearby trails, including the Enger–Duluth Traverse and the Superior Hiking Trail, just steps from your door. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this exceptional home!

  3. 2021-08-16
    soldstatus $135,500
  4. 2021-06-25
    soldstatus $135,500 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Inside this move-in ready home you can find main floor laundry, a spacious living and dining area, vinyl windows, as well as 3 spacious bedrooms! This property is located on a quiet dead end road with easy access to the mall and hwy 35. You will also find amazing views of the Bay and Lake Superior from your backyard or deck off the back of the home! Set up a time to see it now!

  5. 2021-05-13
    listed $114,900 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Inside this move-in ready home you can find main floor laundry, a spacious living and dining area, vinyl windows, as well as 3 spacious bedrooms! This property is located on a quiet dead end road with easy access to the mall and hwy 35. You will also find amazing views of the Bay and Lake Superior from your backyard or deck off the back of the home! Set up a time to see it now!

  6. 2018-03-07
    soldstatus $77,000
  7. 2018-03-06
    soldstatus $77,000
  8. 2017-11-10
    listed $84,900
  9. 2014-10-22
    soldstatus $23,500
  10. 2014-10-22
    soldstatus $23,500
  11. 2014-10-22
    soldstatus $23,500 Sold
  12. 2014-10-20
    status Pending
  13. 2014-10-10
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  14. 2014-09-26
    price $24,900
  15. 2014-09-11
    price $34,900
  16. 2014-08-12
    listed $39,900 Active
  17. 2014-08-08
    listed $24,900
  18. 2014-08-08
    listed $24,900
  19. 2008-08-27
    soldstatus $89,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,982 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,222 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 12.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,024
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$1,982
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$186
After-tax cash flow
$3,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
9,356
Household income
$42,833
Rent vs Own
57.9% rent · 42.1% own
Severe rent burden
506.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.85%
Current HPI
195.9805
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $219,900 LSAR
  • 2021-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $135,500 Public Records
  • 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $135,500 LSAR
  • 2021-05-13 Listed $114,900 LSAR
  • 2018-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-06 Sold (MLS) $77,000 LSAR
  • 2017-11-10 Listed $84,900 LSAR
  • 2014-10-22 Sold (MLS) $23,500 RASM
  • 2014-10-22 Sold (MLS) $23,500 LSAR
  • 2014-10-22 Sold (MLS) $23,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-10 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-26 Price Changed $24,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-11 Price Changed $34,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-12 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-08 Listed $24,900 RASM
  • 2014-08-08 Listed $24,900 LSAR
  • 2008-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,982 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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