918 Caroline St · Thibodaux, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom / 2 Full Bath cottage located in the heart of Thibodaux. Features include spacious kitchen, some classic architectural components, nice floor plan and storage shed. Located in close proximity to Nicholls State University, this home would make a great rental investment or home for the owner/occupants, looking for a fixer-upper at a great value. This opportunity won't last long! Call your agent today to schedule your private showing.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Storage shed
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $413 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $60k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.11%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,305
- List price
- $59,700
- Delta
- -59.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1103 Caroline St | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,274 (-2%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $110 | 81 |
| 1040 Henderson St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,299 (+0%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $104 | 78 |
| 510 Olive St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (+4%) | 12mo | $179,000 | $133 | 65 |
| 218 Lafaye Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (+4%) | 0mo | $201,000 | $150 | 64 |
| 902 General Nicholls Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,141 (-12%) | 10mo | $168,500 | $148 | 61 |
| 830 Harrison St | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,164 (-10%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $60 | 61 |
| 744 Goode St | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,311 (+1%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 107 Vernon St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+6%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 109 Apricot St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,383 (+7%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 1131 Louise St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-3%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $60 | 55 |
| 1015 Ridgefield Rd | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,102 (-15%) | 12mo | $139,900 | $127 | 47 |
| 1213 Tetreau St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+8%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $43 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $38,178
- Equity at exit
- $8,901
- IRR
- 57.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $94,435
- Equity at exit
- $5,162
Cash invested: $16,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70301
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$313
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $282/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $787 | -5% $771 | +0% $754 | +5% $737 | +10% $720 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $642 | -5% $698 | +0% $754 | +5% $809 | +10% $865 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $784 | -0.5pp $769 | base $754 | +0.5pp $738 | +1.0pp $722 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,925
- Closing costs
- $1,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Bradford St Thibodaux, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1318 Ledet St Unit 2 Bed/15 Bath Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,290 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1712 Ridgefield Ave Unit A Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1200 Louise St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,325 | $1.41 | 44d | 6 | 0.85mi |
| 108 Wolfe St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2314 Saint Bernard St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 909 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 106 Beham Ct Thibodaux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,700 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,700 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,700 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,700 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $59,700 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,700 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,700 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,700 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,700 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,700 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,700 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,700 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,700 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,700 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,700 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,700 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,700 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,700 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-21$69,700 Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
3 Bedroom / 2 Full Bath cottage located in the heart of Thibodaux. Features include spacious kitchen, some classic architectural components, nice floor plan and storage shed. Located in close proximity to Nicholls State University, this home would make a great rental investment or home for the owner/occupants, looking for a fixer-upper at a great value. This opportunity won't last long! Call your agent today to schedule your private showing.
-
2026-03-21$69,700 Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
3 Bedroom / 2 Full Bath cottage located in the heart of Thibodaux. Features include spacious kitchen, some classic architectural components, nice floor plan and storage shed. Located in close proximity to Nicholls State University, this home would make a great rental investment or home for the owner/occupants, looking for a fixer-upper at a great value. This opportunity won't last long! Call your agent today to schedule your private showing.
-
2026-03-09soldstatus $32,500 Sold
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2026-03-09soldstatus Closed
-
2026-02-05status Pending
-
2026-02-05status Pending
-
2025-12-24price $75,000
-
2025-12-24price $75,000
-
2025-12-03price $102,040
-
2025-12-03price $102,040
-
2025-11-29price $107,400
-
2025-11-11price $107,400
-
2025-10-03$113,000 Active
-
2025-10-03$113,000 Active
-
2020-01-03soldstatus
-
2020-01-03soldstatus $118,000
-
2019-09-24$118,000
-
2019-09-24$118,000
-
2019-04-16$132,000
-
2019-04-16$132,000
-
2006-05-22$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $282 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $328 · $27/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 16.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,344
- − Property taxes
- −$282
- − Insurance
- −$298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$1,737
- Taxable income
- $8,567
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,056
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Thibodaux
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thibodaux, LA
- County
- Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
- City population
- 50,095
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,095
- Household income
- $58,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1513.0
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.35%
- Current HPI
- 124.5559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Listed $69,700 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $69,700 GSREIN
- 2026-03-09 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Sold (MLS) $32,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-05 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-05 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $75,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $102,040 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $102,040 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $107,400 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $107,400 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $113,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $113,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-03 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2019-09-24 Listed $118,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-09-24 Listed $118,000 GBRMLS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $132,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $132,000 GBRMLS
- 2006-05-22 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $282 · -43.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…