2197 Dover Ln · Lancaster, SC 29720

$30,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1981 0.78 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

• 0.78 acre lot
• Built 1981

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
• Home design: Single-family property
• Construction: Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Brick exterior above foundation; Gravel road access; Lot of approximately 0.78 acres

Interior

• Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
• Interior features: Central heating and central air conditioning

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
• Cap rate 45.7% vs local median 3.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#301 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Lancaster 01 (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #26 of 80 in SC (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 675 active listings in the ZIP; 976 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lancaster County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 45.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 140.82%
• DSCR: 7.27
• GRM: 1.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $200,900
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2063 Dover Ln	0.32mi	2/1.5 (-1)	962 (-6%)	22mo	$205,000	$213	52
2047 Dover Ln	0.36mi	2/1.0 (-1)	976 (-5%)	24mo	$191,050	$196	49
1553 University Park Dr	0.75mi	3/1.5	1,148 (+12%)	18mo	$193,000	$168	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 7.90×
• Total profit: $57,933
• Equity at exit: $4,473

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 16.64×
• Total profit: $131,334
• Equity at exit: $2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29720

• Home prices YoY: -28.2%
• Active inventory: 675
• Price-to-rent: 1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,486 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $220/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$312
• Net cashflow: $986

Break-even live

Break-even rent $238

Max offer price $30,000

Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,500
• Closing costs: $900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-10
   remarks 103-char remark
2. 2026-06-10
   listed $30,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $220 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $220 · $18/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,832
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,680
• − Property taxes: −$220
• − Insurance: −$150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,427
• − Management: −$1,427
• − Depreciation: −$873
• Taxable income: $12,055
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,893
• After-tax cash flow: $8,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lancaster 01
• NCES district ID: 4502580
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,165
• Composite: 37.23/100
• National rank: #4462
• State rank: #26 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lancaster

• Score: 55/100
• State rank: #301
• US rank: #23178

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lancaster County · 91,213 people
• City population: 53,584
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• Population (ZIP): 53,584
• Household income: $62,969
• Rent vs Own: 20.2% rent · 79.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1158.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 105,572 people
• By 2030: 114,865 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 132,268 · +25.3%
• By 2050: 148,252 · +40.4%
• By 2075: 182,540 · +72.9%
• By 2100: 202,237 · +91.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.0% · R 61.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -24.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -95.90%
• Current HPI: 244.328
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-06-09 Listed $30,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

-11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $220 · -85.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.