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207 South Ave
B Composite 74.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

207 South Ave · Dayton, PA 16222
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 8,886 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IN DAYTON PA! Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio, live in 1 unit and rent the other, or add a solid investment property to your holdings, this duplex offers great potential. 2 spacious units, 3 bed/1 bath in each unit, metal roof for long-lasting durability, covered front porch. Contact for rental information and a private showing. Priced right at $75,000

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Metal roof
  • Duplex

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYDUPLEXMETAL ROOFCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential income property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,314 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $714 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $195 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.39%
Cash-on-cash
28.91%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$30,988
Equity at exit
$22,756
10-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$79,537
Equity at exit
$28,148

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16222

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,579/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $704
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 401-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,579 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,579 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,132
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,579
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,291
− Management
−$1,291
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,251
After-tax cash flow
$4,819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Armstrong SD
NCES district ID
4202590
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,333
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3729
State rank
#233 of 539 in PA

Livability — Dayton

Score
62/100
State rank
#1314
US rank
#16221

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,139

Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,513 people
By 2030
59,579 · -4.7%
By 2040
52,890 · -15.4%
By 2050
45,904 · -26.6%
By 2075
32,023 · -48.8%
By 2100
20,415 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Polish 7% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
81% English-only · German/W. Germanic 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.26%
Current HPI
140.7036
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,579 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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