207 South Ave · Dayton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IN DAYTON PA! Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio, live in 1 unit and rent the other, or add a solid investment property to your holdings, this duplex offers great potential. 2 spacious units, 3 bed/1 bath in each unit, metal roof for long-lasting durability, covered front porch. Contact for rental information and a private showing. Priced right at $75,000
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential income property
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,314 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $714 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $195 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.91%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $30,988
- Equity at exit
- $22,756
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $79,537
- Equity at exit
- $28,148
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16222
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,579/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 401-char remark
-
2026-06-17$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,579
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $5,214
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Armstrong SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,333
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3729
- State rank
- #233 of 539 in PA
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1314
- US rank
- #16221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,139
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 7% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · German/W. Germanic 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.26%
- Current HPI
- 140.7036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 AVBREALTORS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,579 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…