314 Jasper St · Aurora, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Original windows
- Covered carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Aurora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#710 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Aurora R-VIII (town): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #244 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.62%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,048
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -18.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-567
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $24,736
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65605
- Home prices YoY
- -4.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $612/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-03-19price $125,000 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2026-02-13price $130,000 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2026-01-13price $135,000 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-12-31price $140,000 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-12-03price $145,000 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-11-07$150,000 Active 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Welcome home to 314 Jasper Street. They just don't make them like this any more! Built in 1910, this 4 Bed, 1.5 Bath home is centrally located in the heart of Aurora and situated on a generously sized corner lot. It features many original windows and doors and has an open Living & Formal Dining Room. You will be in awe of the 10-ft Ceilings! There are two spacious bedrooms on the main floor, one being the Master and features a walk-in closet. The second floor you will find two other bedrooms, a half bath, and a cozy hallway nook that can be used as a reading area, TV or game area for the kiddos, or an office area. Downstairs in the basement houses the 3-yr old HVAC, water heater and measures 472 sq ft of storage space. Outside you will find a fantastic covered front porch, some mature shade trees, a covered 2-car carport, and a storage shed. This house is ready for its new owner to bring their own vision and personal touch. There is so much potential here. Selling AS-IS and priced to sell. Don't miss out on this one!
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2020-10-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $612 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,212 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$601/yr (+$50/mo · 98.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$612
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$422
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aurora R-VIII
- NCES district ID
- 2904020
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,036
- Composite
- 27.84/100
- National rank
- #6883
- State rank
- #244 of 324 in MO
Livability — Aurora
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #710
- US rank
- #22927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurora, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,611
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,142 people
- By 2030
- 36,212 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 34,080 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 31,621 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 25,987 · -30.0%
- By 2100
- 20,151 · -45.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -63.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.62%
- Current HPI
- 267.2335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $125,000 SOMO
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $130,000 SOMO
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $135,000 SOMO
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $140,000 SOMO
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $145,000 SOMO
- 2025-11-07 Listed $150,000 SOMO
- 2020-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $612 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…