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7 Payne St
B- Composite 65.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

7 Payne St · Pryor Creek, OK 74361
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1955 0.26 ac lot Est $205k · 41% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces northeast; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch and patio; Concrete driveway; Privacy fencing; Shed(s); Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range/Stove; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range connection
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (no attached baths)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full hall bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Cable TV ready; Laminate counters; Storm door(s); Vinyl and wood-framed windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room accessed from the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.28%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1208 Colonial Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+1%) 0mo $192,000 $147 75
107 S Coo-y-yah St Unit B 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+3%) 3mo $239,000 $179 70
811 S Wood St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+3%) 0mo $244,000 $183 69
831 S Wood St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+3%) 0mo $243,000 $182 69
837 S Wood St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+3%) 0mo $242,700 $182 69
317 SE 11th St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+8%) 3mo $199,000 $142 59
600 S Adair 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,211 (-7%) 5mo $123,500 $102 58
805 S Wood St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,438 (+11%) 1mo $259,000 $180 55
1012 Colonial Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,142 (-12%) 5mo $160,000 $140 54
204 Magnolia Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,403 (+8%) 8mo $221,100 $158 48
321 SE 14th St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,453 (+12%) 6mo $213,000 $147 45
21 N Indianola St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,464 (+13%) 1mo $173,500 $119 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,140
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$22,478
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74361

Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,313 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $851/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $949
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $322 +0% $288 +5% $254 +10% $220
Rent -10% $184 -5% $236 +0% $288 +5% $339 +10% $391
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $318 base $288 +0.5pp $257 +1.0pp $225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1220 SE 9th St Pryor, OK 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 909 $1,469 $1.62 2d 5 0.67mi
1501 Meadow Trace Dr Unit 1 Pryor, OK 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,029 $1.03 2d 3 0.69mi
111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 15d 1 0.78mi
1707 S Elliott St Pryor, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,275 $1.47 2d 1 0.87mi
202 N Ora St Pryor, OK 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,600 $1.24 19d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    price $119,900
  3. 2026-05-06
    listed $125,000 Active
  4. 2024-05-14
    soldstatus $90,000 Closed 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.

  5. 2024-04-22
    status Pending 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.

  6. 2024-04-17
    price $115,000 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.

  7. 2024-03-15
    listed $125,000 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$851 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,079 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$228/yr (+$19/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,756
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$851
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,260
− Management
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$379
After-tax cash flow
$3,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pryor
NCES district ID
4025200
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,306
Composite
19.46/100
National rank
#8774
State rank
#143 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pryor Creek

Score
69/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#8653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pryor Creek, OK
County
Mayes County · 17,612 people
City population
17,582
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
17,612
Household income
$58,681
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,941 people
By 2030
39,172 · -1.9%
By 2040
37,540 · -6.0%
By 2050
35,854 · -10.2%
By 2075
32,361 · -19.0%
By 2100
28,054 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mayes

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.81%
Current HPI
247.7737
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $119,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-05-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-04-22 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-03-15 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $851 · +146.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…