7 Payne St · Pryor Creek, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces northeast; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch and patio; Concrete driveway; Privacy fencing; Shed(s); Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range/Stove; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range connection
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (no attached baths)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full hall bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Cable TV ready; Laminate counters; Storm door(s); Vinyl and wood-framed windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room accessed from the garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.28%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,768
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1208 Colonial Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+1%) | 0mo | $192,000 | $147 | 75 |
| 107 S Coo-y-yah St Unit B | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+3%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $179 | 70 |
| 811 S Wood St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+3%) | 0mo | $244,000 | $183 | 69 |
| 831 S Wood St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+3%) | 0mo | $243,000 | $182 | 69 |
| 837 S Wood St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+3%) | 0mo | $242,700 | $182 | 69 |
| 317 SE 11th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+8%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 600 S Adair | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,211 (-7%) | 5mo | $123,500 | $102 | 58 |
| 805 S Wood St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+11%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $180 | 55 |
| 1012 Colonial Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,142 (-12%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $140 | 54 |
| 204 Magnolia Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (+8%) | 8mo | $221,100 | $158 | 48 |
| 321 SE 14th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (+12%) | 6mo | $213,000 | $147 | 45 |
| 21 N Indianola St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (+13%) | 1mo | $173,500 | $119 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,140
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $22,478
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74361
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $851/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $322 | +0% $288 | +5% $254 | +10% $220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $184 | -5% $236 | +0% $288 | +5% $339 | +10% $391 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $318 | base $288 | +0.5pp $257 | +1.0pp $225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1220 SE 9th St Pryor, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 909 | $1,469 | $1.62 | 2d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 1501 Meadow Trace Dr Unit 1 Pryor, OK | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,029 | $1.03 | 2d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1707 S Elliott St Pryor, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,275 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 202 N Ora St Pryor, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-14price $119,900
-
2026-05-06$125,000 Active
-
2024-05-14soldstatus $90,000 Closed 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.
-
2024-04-22status Pending 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.
-
2024-04-17price $115,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.
-
2024-03-15$125,000 Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Great potential on this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with 2 living areas. Home needs TLC, but could be a beautiful place again. Home has brand new roof and newer windows. Huge back yard with mature trees. Being sold AS-IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $851 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,079 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 26.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$851
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$379
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pryor
- NCES district ID
- 4025200
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,306
- Composite
- 19.46/100
- National rank
- #8774
- State rank
- #143 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pryor Creek
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #8653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pryor Creek, OK
- County
- Mayes County · 17,612 people
- City population
- 17,582
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,612
- Household income
- $58,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 326.0
Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,941 people
- By 2030
- 39,172 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 37,540 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 35,854 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 32,361 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 28,054 · -29.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mayes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.81%
- Current HPI
- 247.7737
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-4.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $119,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-06 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-05-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-04-22 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-03-15 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $851 · +146.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…