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3206 SW 10th Ave
D+ Composite 47.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$187,500

3206 SW 10th Ave · Topeka, KS 66604
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,773 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1953 10,019 sqft lot Est $218k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this Smart Home by Vivint security system with key-less entry. You can control your outlets, thermostat, and garage door all from the touch of your phone! This spacious ranch has hard wood floors, extra large bedrooms, and has recently a large deck.

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

PRIME LOCATION NEAR GAGE PARKHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED TEXTURED CEILINGSUPDATED MAIN FLOOR BATHROOMREINFORCED BASEMENT WALLSINTERIOR DRAINAGE SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half stories; Vinyl siding; Located in the Monteith Place subdivision
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($294/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Topeka Public Schools (urban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #158 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Landon Middle School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 219 statewide, top 65%, 457 students, 68% FRL); Topeka West High (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #244 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 1,085 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,665 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.56%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,079
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2706 SW Lee Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,549 (-13%) 18mo $190,000 $123 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-26,493
Equity at exit
$27,957
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-11,229
Equity at exit
$16,212

Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66604

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,637 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$983
Tax from tax record
$207 /mo · $2,484/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,606
Max offer price $187,500
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,875
Closing costs
$5,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
703 SW Parkview St Topeka, KS 3.0 2.0 1922 $1,995 $1.04 21d 1 0.38mi
937 SW Jewell Ave Topeka, KS 3.0 1.0 1297 $1,295 $1.00 21d 1 0.87mi
1275 SW Mulvane St Topeka, KS 3.0 1.5 1791 $1,350 $0.75 21d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $187,500 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $187,500 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $187,500 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $187,500 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $187,500 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $187,500 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $187,500 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $187,500 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $187,500 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 687-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $187,500 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,484 · $207/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,644 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,640
− Mortgage interest
−$10,503
− Property taxes
−$2,484
− Insurance
−$938
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,571
− Management
−$1,571
− Depreciation
−$5,455
Taxable loss
−$2,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$692
After-tax cash flow
$986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Topeka Public Schools
NCES district ID
2012260
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,405
Composite
16.69/100
National rank
#9167
State rank
#158 of 169 in KS

Livability — Topeka

Score
69/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#8848

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Topeka, KS
County
Shawnee County · 118,130 people
City population
118,130
Metro
Topeka, KS
Population (ZIP)
23,006
Household income
$60,874
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Shawnee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,277 people
By 2030
177,762 · -0.8%
By 2040
172,341 · -3.9%
By 2050
166,330 · -7.2%
By 2075
152,417 · -15.0%
By 2100
134,782 · -24.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shawnee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+3.0 2016: R+2.8 2012: R+1.7 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.78%
Current HPI
227.637
Rent YoY
▲ 4.39%
Metro
Topeka, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+88.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $187,500 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-08-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-08-27 Sold (MLS) Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-07-01 Listed $99,500 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2009-08-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-10-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,484 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…