708 N Central Ave · Crandon, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming home sits on a quiet location near downtown and the Nicolet National Forest, perfect as a starter, rental, or vacation home!
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- Spacious backyard
- 0.4 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Two-story single-family home; Finished above grade living area (estimated 1,776); Finished below grade living area (239)
- Construction: Assessor/public record year built; Wood construction
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Approximately 0.4 acre lot; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Exhaust hood; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level (16 x 17); Bedroom 2 on upper level (12 x 14); Bedroom 3 on upper level (11 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; No master bedroom bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Full basement; Living room on main level (10 x 14); Dining room on main level (10 x 11); Kitchen on main level (10 x 12)
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Piano included; Window coverings included; Picnic tables included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($847/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#704 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Crandon School District (rural): math 26% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #307 of 342 in WI (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Forest County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Forest County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.33%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,500
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Hazeldell Ave Ave N | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-12%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $54 | 63 |
| 101 Wildwood Ave S | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,888 (-1%) | 13mo | $249,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 707 N Metonga Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,686 (-11%) | 18mo | $199,900 | $119 | 53 |
| 501 Grant St | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,753 (-8%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $125 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-16,573
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,717
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54520
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 585-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,256 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,829 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$574/yr (+$48/mo · 45.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,831
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,256
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,106
- − Management
- −$1,106
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,342
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$322
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crandon School District
- NCES district ID
- 5502910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,247
- Composite
- 22.69/100
- National rank
- #8041
- State rank
- #307 of 342 in WI
Livability — Crandon
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #19102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crandon, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,866
Population outlook (Forest County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,449 people
- By 2030
- 8,032 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 7,064 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 6,119 · -27.6%
- By 2075
- 4,592 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 3,630 · -57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Native American 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Forest
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.4) · D 33.0% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.5pp toward R · 2008: 15.2pp · 2024: -33.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.4 2020: R+30.9 2016: R+26.7 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.47%
- Current HPI
- 202.6563
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+0.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $129,900 SCWMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $112,500 METROMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $117,500 METROMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $122,500 METROMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $127,500 METROMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $132,500 METROMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $137,500 METROMLS
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $139,900 GNMLS
- 2025-04-01 Relisted — GNMLS
- 2024-11-04 Price Changed $144,900 GNMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $149,900 GNMLS
- 2023-09-25 Sold (MLS) $122,800 GNMLS
- 2023-08-25 Contingent — GNMLS
- 2023-08-08 Delisted — GNMLS
- 2023-07-31 Contingent — GNMLS
- 2023-07-14 Listed $128,800 GNMLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,256 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…