Fourplex
1933 S 28th St · Paducah, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Multifamily investment opportunity. Five (5) of the six (6) units are 2BR/1Bath and rent ranging from $715-$825/mo. All tenants are current with no arrears. CAPEX are electrical upgrades and renovations in all units. Refurbished/new flooring in downstairs units. Repair/reinforced wood deck/steps and soffits and new gutters. No known deferred maintenance.
Key facts
- Reinforced wood deck
- New gutters
- Refurbished flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Five-or-more unit building; 2 stories
- Construction: Block and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as multi-family residential
- Exterior features: Balcony; Level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Laminate and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $290k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morgan Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 380 students, 89% FRL); Paducah Middle School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 652 students, 69% FRL); Paducah Tilghman High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,176/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1001% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.83%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $85,935
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $246,192
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42001
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 18.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,176 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,087
- Net cashflow
- $2,086
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | — | $5,176 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,294 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,294 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,294 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $1,294 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,176 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $289,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $289,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-12remarks 356-char remark
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2026-06-12$289,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $62,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$4,348
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,969
- − Management
- −$4,969
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $21,704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paducah Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104650
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,067
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7896
- State rank
- #122 of 165 in KY
Livability — Paducah
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #9780
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paducah, KY
- County
- McCracken County · 30,856 people
- City population
- 30,856
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,856
- Household income
- $71,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,237 people
- By 2030
- 63,468 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 61,221 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 58,432 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 52,668 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 44,517 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McCracken
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.23%
- Current HPI
- 258.1706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paducah, KY-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
-35.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $289,900 WKRMLS
- 2024-12-13 Listed $349,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-10-31 Relisted — WKRMLS
- 2024-10-26 Price Changed $349,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-07-01 Price Changed $369,900 WKRMLS
- 2024-05-14 Price Changed $395,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-04-24 Price Changed $420,000 WKRMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $450,000 WKRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…