CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1933 S 28th St Fourplex
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

1933 S 28th St · Paducah, KY 42001
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,675 sqft · MultiFamily · 8 Days on market
0.33 ac lot ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Multifamily investment opportunity. Five (5) of the six (6) units are 2BR/1Bath and rent ranging from $715-$825/mo. All tenants are current with no arrears. CAPEX are electrical upgrades and renovations in all units. Refurbished/new flooring in downstairs units. Repair/reinforced wood deck/steps and soffits and new gutters. No known deferred maintenance.

Key facts

  • Reinforced wood deck
  • New gutters
  • Refurbished flooring

Tags

ELECTRICAL UPGRADESRENOVATIONS IN ALL UNITSREFURBISHED FLOORINGREINFORCED WOOD DECKNEW GUTTERSNO KNOWN DEFERRED MAINTENANCE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Five-or-more unit building; 2 stories
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as multi-family residential
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Laminate and wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $290k).
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Morgan Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 380 students, 89% FRL); Paducah Middle School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 652 students, 69% FRL); Paducah Tilghman High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,176/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1001% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $289,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.93%
Cash-on-cash
30.83%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$85,935
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$246,192
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42001

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
18.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,176 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax est. 1.5%
$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,087
Net cashflow
$2,086

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,536
Max offer price $289,900
Occupancy floor 55%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $5,176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $289,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 356-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $289,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$62,112
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$4,348
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,969
− Management
−$4,969
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable income
$21,704
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,209
After-tax cash flow
$19,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paducah Independent
NCES district ID
2104650
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,067
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#122 of 165 in KY

Livability — Paducah

Score
68/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#9780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paducah, KY
County
McCracken County · 30,856 people
City population
30,856
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
Population (ZIP)
30,856
Household income
$71,365
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.23%
Current HPI
258.1706
Rent YoY
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $289,900 WKRMLS
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $349,000 WKRMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Relisted WKRMLS
  • 2024-10-26 Price Changed $349,000 WKRMLS
  • 2024-07-01 Price Changed $369,900 WKRMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Price Changed $395,000 WKRMLS
  • 2024-04-24 Price Changed $420,000 WKRMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $450,000 WKRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…