444 Sun Pr · Pryor Creek, OK 74361

$45,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 5 Days on market

Built 2005 0.50 ac lot Est $40k · 14% over ↓ 14% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• ARV discount +1.4/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Hud prop subj to hud regs & bid proced, uninsured-offered as-is w/ all faults, buyer respons. for replacing any missing meters, bid deadline 4/29/07, 11:59pm, #422-268090

Key facts

• 0.5 acre lot
• Built 2005
• Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Security: No safety shelter
• Utilities: Rural water; Rural sewer
• Home design: Single-wide manufactured home; Single-story; Faces east; Tie-down foundation
• Construction: Built (year source: appraiser); Manufactured construction with vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain-link fencing; No other exterior features listed

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Vinyl windows; Electric oven connection; No additional interior features listed
• Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 3.9% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
• Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.00% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.64%
• Cash-on-cash: 69.10%
• DSCR: 4.07
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $39,600
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
425 N Sun Prairie St	0.04mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,740 (-12%)	2mo	$35,500	$20	71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 68.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.09×
• Total profit: $38,955
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: 72.7%
• Equity multiple: 8.43×
• Total profit: $93,583
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 74361

• Active inventory: 159
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,352 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$88 /mo · $1,055/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $725

Break-even live

Break-even rent $434

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-09
   status $45,000 Pending 5 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $45,000 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-05
   remarks 241-char remark
5. 2026-06-03
   remarks 106-char remark
6. 2026-06-03
   listed $45,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,055 · $88/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,055 · $88/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,225
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$1,055
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,298
• − Management: −$1,298
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $8,519
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,045
• After-tax cash flow: $6,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pryor
• NCES district ID: 4025200
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $44,306
• Composite: 19.46/100
• National rank: #8774
• State rank: #143 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pryor Creek

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #51
• US rank: #8653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Mayes County · 17,612 people
• City population: 17,582
• Metro: nan
• Population (ZIP): 17,612
• Household income: $58,681
• Rent vs Own: 31.7% rent · 68.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 326.0

Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,941 people
• By 2030: 39,172 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 37,540 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 35,854 · -10.2%
• By 2075: 32,361 · -19.0%
• By 2100: 28,054 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mayes

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -145.81%
• Current HPI: 247.7737
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: nan
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

-14.4% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $45,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2021-03-04 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2020-06-25 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2007-06-14 Sold (MLS) $51,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2007-05-07 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
• 2007-04-20 Listed $52,600 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,055 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.