🏷️ Likely Rental
5234/5234 30th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.8/10.0
- Rent growth +0.8/5.0
$405,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
"TURN KEY" opportunity for investors in a great location just off State Rd 82 between Colonial and Daniels. Well maintained duplex with all tile floors on both sides. A/C system on left unit was replaced in 2019. Each unit has an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1 car garage. This is a great opportunity for rental income or someone looking to live with extended family. Right unit has a tenant on month to month paying $900/ month
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property contains one unit (multifamily data indicates single unit)
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $1,800; Actual/pro forma rent for unit: $1,800; Operating expenses: $3,000; Tenant pays application fee; Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association fee; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Auto garage door
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable not available
- Home design: Single-story property; Resale home; Zoned RM-2
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Screened lanai/porch; Lot surveyed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (one-story unit)
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Single-hung windows; Screened lanai/porch; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Washer and dryer listed as included in unit description; Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $405k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-219/yr) — negative. Per door: $-9/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $402k (0.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $346k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.0%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,458/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1142% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.19%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $536,588
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5228-5230 27th St SW | 0.19mi | 6/4.0 | 2,392 (-2%) | 9mo | $550,000 | $230 | 81 |
| 5225/5227 28th St SW | 0.10mi | 6/4.0 | 2,351 (-3%) | 14mo | $520,000 | $221 | 78 |
| 5208/5210 30th St SW | 0.12mi | 6/4.0 | 2,351 (-3%) | 15mo | $539,000 | $229 | 77 |
| 5205-5207 30th St SW | 0.14mi | 6/4.0 | 2,392 (-2%) | 23mo | $549,900 | $230 | 72 |
| 5315 26th St SW | 0.25mi | 6/4.0 | 2,362 (-3%) | 21mo | $429,000 | $182 | 66 |
| 2504 & 2506 Hawalaska St | 0.30mi | 6/4.0 | 2,250 (-7%) | 19mo | $465,000 | $207 | 58 |
| 2206-2208 Leda Ave S | 0.69mi | 6/4.0 | 2,370 (-2%) | 13mo | $540,000 | $228 | 52 |
| 2213/2215 Leda Ave S | 0.71mi | 6/4.0 | 2,330 (-4%) | 18mo | $355,000 | $152 | 45 |
| 2805-2807 Hawalaska St | 0.27mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,767 (+14%) | 20mo | $458,000 | $166 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-76,902
- Equity at exit
- $60,387
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-107,535
- Equity at exit
- $35,017
Cash invested: $113,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33973
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Rents YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 19.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,124
- Tax from tax record
- −$457 /mo · $5,489/yr
- Insurance
- −$169
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$726
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,458 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,729 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,729 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,458 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $101,250
- Closing costs
- $12,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5214 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2316 | $1,600 | $0.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2216 Leda Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2750 | $2,470 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $405,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $405,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $405,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $405,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $405,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $405,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $405,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $405,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $405,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $405,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $405,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-03-18$405,000 Active
-
2022-06-07soldstatus $430,000
-
2020-10-07soldstatus $254,900
-
2020-10-01soldstatus $254,900 Closed 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
"TURN KEY" opportunity for investors in a great location just off State Rd 82 between Colonial and Daniels. Well maintained duplex with all tile floors on both sides. A/C system on left unit was replaced in 2019. Each unit has an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1 car garage. This is a great opportunity for rental income or someone looking to live with extended family. Right unit has a tenant on month to month paying $900/ month
-
2020-08-10status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
"TURN KEY" opportunity for investors in a great location just off State Rd 82 between Colonial and Daniels. Well maintained duplex with all tile floors on both sides. A/C system on left unit was replaced in 2019. Each unit has an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1 car garage. This is a great opportunity for rental income or someone looking to live with extended family. Right unit has a tenant on month to month paying $900/ month
-
2020-07-22price $254,900 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
"TURN KEY" opportunity for investors in a great location just off State Rd 82 between Colonial and Daniels. Well maintained duplex with all tile floors on both sides. A/C system on left unit was replaced in 2019. Each unit has an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1 car garage. This is a great opportunity for rental income or someone looking to live with extended family. Right unit has a tenant on month to month paying $900/ month
-
2020-07-16$249,900 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
"TURN KEY" opportunity for investors in a great location just off State Rd 82 between Colonial and Daniels. Well maintained duplex with all tile floors on both sides. A/C system on left unit was replaced in 2019. Each unit has an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1 car garage. This is a great opportunity for rental income or someone looking to live with extended family. Right unit has a tenant on month to month paying $900/ month
-
2004-11-16soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,489 · $457/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,489 · $457/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,686
- − Property taxes
- −$5,489
- − Insurance
- −$2,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,320
- − Management
- −$3,320
- − Depreciation
- −$11,782
- Taxable loss
- −$7,126
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,710
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,392
- Household income
- $60,530
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1142.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% Black 36% Two or more races 21% White 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Russian 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.43%
- Current HPI
- 237.694
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -6.99%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1520.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Listed $405,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $254,900 Public Records
- 2020-10-01 Sold (MLS) $254,900 FORTMLS
- 2020-08-10 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2020-07-22 Price Changed $254,900 FORTMLS
- 2020-07-16 Listed $249,900 FORTMLS
- 2004-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,489 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…