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18112 Justine St
B- Composite 68.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

18112 Justine St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,017 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1956 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully fully renovated brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This move-in ready home offers fresh paint, updated flooring, and modern finishes throughout. The updated kitchen includes new cabinetry, sleek countertops, and contemporary fixtures. Spacious bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility, while both bathrooms have been tastefully updated. The solid brick exterior adds timeless curb appeal, with a well-maintained yard perfect for everyday living. All mechanics will be installed prior to closing , home is being monitored via security cameras. Pre-approved buyers only.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Updated kitchen
  • New cabinetry

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDUPDATED KITCHENNEW CABINETRYSLEEK COUNTERTOPSCONTEMPORARY FIXTURESSOLID BRICK EXTERIOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.97%
Cash-on-cash
20.27%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,765
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17833 Binder St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 4mo $46,000 $46 77
18905 Dean St 0.40mi 3/1.0 990 (-3%) 6mo $88,900 $90 72
19155 Ryan Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,068 (+5%) 2mo $45,000 $42 66
19392 Justine St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 3mo $45,000 $45 64
3952 Stockton St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,149 (+13%) 1mo $55,000 $48 64
19322 Shields St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+3%) 6mo $43,000 $41 62
19235 Lamont St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-6%) 1mo $40,000 $42 59
19416 Lamont St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,065 (+5%) 1mo $9,000 $8 56
19227 Ryan Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 919 (-10%) 1mo $38,000 $41 56
19366 Fenelon St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,108 (+9%) 4mo $70,000 $63 48
17955 Charest St 0.63mi 3/1.0 880 (-14%) 4mo $51,800 $59 44
18660 Klinger St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 880 (-14%) 0mo $21,000 $24 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$17,579
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$72,590
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,299 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,091/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 17d 1 0.22mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 0.40mi
18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,200 $0.82 43d 1 0.44mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 1d 1 0.51mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 16d 1 0.51mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.52mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 0.57mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 21d 1 0.57mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 0.71mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 0.72mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 0.73mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.76mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 0.79mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.82mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 0.96mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 1.00mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 16d 1 1.01mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 1.02mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 24d 1 1.07mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 1.11mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 16d 1 1.15mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 1.22mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.23mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 16d 1 1.31mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.34mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 21d 1 1.39mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 16d 1 1.43mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 5d 1 1.46mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Beautifully fully renovated brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This move-in ready home offers fresh paint, updated flooring, and modern finishes throughout. The updated kitchen includes new cabinetry, sleek countertops, and contemporary fixtures. Spacious bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility, while both bathrooms have been tastefully updated. The solid brick exterior adds timeless curb appeal, with a well-maintained yard perfect for everyday living. All mechanics will be installed prior to closing , home is being monitored via security cameras. Pre-approved buyers only.

  2. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Beautifully fully renovated brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This move-in ready home offers fresh paint, updated flooring, and modern finishes throughout. The updated kitchen includes new cabinetry, sleek countertops, and contemporary fixtures. Spacious bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility, while both bathrooms have been tastefully updated. The solid brick exterior adds timeless curb appeal, with a well-maintained yard perfect for everyday living. All mechanics will be installed prior to closing , home is being monitored via security cameras. Pre-approved buyers only.

  3. 2026-03-30
    listed $90,000 Active 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Beautifully fully renovated brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This move-in ready home offers fresh paint, updated flooring, and modern finishes throughout. The updated kitchen includes new cabinetry, sleek countertops, and contemporary fixtures. Spacious bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility, while both bathrooms have been tastefully updated. The solid brick exterior adds timeless curb appeal, with a well-maintained yard perfect for everyday living. All mechanics will be installed prior to closing , home is being monitored via security cameras. Pre-approved buyers only.

  4. 2026-03-30
    listed $90,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Beautifully fully renovated brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This move-in ready home offers fresh paint, updated flooring, and modern finishes throughout. The updated kitchen includes new cabinetry, sleek countertops, and contemporary fixtures. Spacious bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility, while both bathrooms have been tastefully updated. The solid brick exterior adds timeless curb appeal, with a well-maintained yard perfect for everyday living. All mechanics will be installed prior to closing , home is being monitored via security cameras. Pre-approved buyers only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,091 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$147/yr (+$12/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,587
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,091
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,247
− Management
−$1,247
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$934
After-tax cash flow
$4,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,091 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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