309 Whitewood St · Burlington, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Comp purposes only.
Key facts
- Extra-large yard
- Brand-new flooring
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete garage with 2 car spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.65 acres (74 x 385)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-366/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (3.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#287 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Burlington Community School District (town): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #286 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Black Hawk Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #494 of 616 statewide, top 83%, 316 students, 72% FRL); Edward Stone Middle School (math 34% / reading 48%, grade F, #236 of 246 statewide, top 96%, 489 students, 63% FRL); Burlington Community High School (math 45% / reading 64%, grade C-, #290 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 1,092 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.87%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,584
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -11.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2218 S 3rd St | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,210 (-12%) | 1mo | $137,500 | $114 | 69 |
| 2524 S Main St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-9%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $96 | 65 |
| 109 Orchard Pl | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-12%) | 1mo | $97,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 427 Denmark St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,247 (-9%) | 4mo | $106,750 | $86 | 60 |
| 1902 S 10th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,326 (-4%) | 7mo | $97,500 | $74 | 59 |
| 2217 S Central Ave | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-2%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 1909 Madison Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+11%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $104 | 56 |
| 1101 Park Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-10%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $130 | 54 |
| 1913 S 15th St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,461 (+6%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 2016 S 15th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-8%) | 1mo | $139,800 | $111 | 50 |
| 2213 Cherokee St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-6%) | 7mo | $178,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 424 Wightman St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-6%) | 5mo | $123,000 | $95 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-26,255
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-25,382
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52601
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,816/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $-31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $12 | +0% $-31 | +5% $-73 | +10% $-115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-31 | +5% $18 | +10% $66 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $45 | -0.5pp $8 | base $-31 | +0.5pp $-69 | +1.0pp $-109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-01status $150,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$150,000 Active 1006-char remark
-
2025-12-17soldstatus $85,000
-
2025-12-15soldstatus $85,000 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
Comp purposes only.
-
2025-12-15$85,000 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
Comp purposes only.
-
2025-11-17soldstatus $41,500
-
2025-11-12soldstatus $41,500
Show marketing remark (18 chars)
Comp purposes only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,816 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,086 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$22/mo · 14.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,816
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,179
- − Management
- −$1,179
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,956
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$710
- After-tax cash flow
- $343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burlington Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1905790
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,833
- Composite
- 40.3/100
- National rank
- #3753
- State rank
- #286 of 289 in IA
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #5540
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, IA
- County
- Des Moines County · 27,341 people
- City population
- 27,341
- Metro
- Burlington, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,341
- Household income
- $60,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 963.0
Population outlook (Des Moines County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,735 people
- By 2030
- 39,257 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 38,090 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 37,156 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 36,905 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 37,222 · -6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Des Moines
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.8% · R 56.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+7.0 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.48%
- Current HPI
- 149.7662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Burlington, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+261.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — IAR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $150,000 IAR
- 2025-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-15 Listed $85,000 IAR
- 2025-12-15 Sold (MLS) $85,000 IAR
- 2025-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 2025-11-12 Sold (MLS) $41,500 IAR
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,816 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…