CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
84 Hardy Dr
B Composite 74.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$78,000

84 Hardy Dr · Snow Hill, NC 28580
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 191 Days on market
Built 1994 0.35 ac lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 bath with large great room with fireplace. Conveniently located between Snow Hill and Kinston. Perfect for either homeowner or investor. Call today!

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 190 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RA; Private road frontage; Lot is approximately 0.35 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; No additional utilities listed
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Porch; Storage outbuilding; Level lot; Has a view; No additional exterior amenities listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range; Dishwasher; Electric water heater; Washer hookup; Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#319 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Greene County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #151 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greene County Intermediate (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 358 students, 99% FRL); Greene County Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 680 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 77% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $66k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.80%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,680
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
247 Fred Harrison Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-7%) 10mo $172,000 $114 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$32,063
Equity at exit
$34,755
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$82,388
Equity at exit
$53,317

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28580

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax est. 1.5%
$98 /mo · $1,170/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $682
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $414 -5% $387 +0% $360 +5% $333 +10% $306
Rent -10% $270 -5% $315 +0% $360 +5% $405 +10% $450
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $380 base $360 +0.5pp $340 +1.0pp $320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $78,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $78,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $78,000 Active 182 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 181 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 174 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 173 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 172 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $78,000 Active 171 DOM
  18. 2025-12-10
    listed $78,000 Active
  19. 2025-06-27
    soldstatus $66,500 Closed 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath with large great room with fireplace. Conveniently located between Snow Hill and Kinston. Perfect for either homeowner or investor. Call today!

  20. 2025-06-25
    soldstatus $66,500
  21. 2025-05-29
    status Pending 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath with large great room with fireplace. Conveniently located between Snow Hill and Kinston. Perfect for either homeowner or investor. Call today!

  22. 2025-05-28
    listed $74,900 Active 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath with large great room with fireplace. Conveniently located between Snow Hill and Kinston. Perfect for either homeowner or investor. Call today!

  23. 2024-04-24
    status Pending
  24. 2024-04-23
    historical
  25. 2024-03-21
    price $74,900
  26. 2024-03-05
    price $84,900
  27. 2024-01-30
    price $92,500
  28. 2023-12-29
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,661
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,170
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,093
− Management
−$1,093
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$3,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$786
After-tax cash flow
$3,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County Schools
NCES district ID
3701830
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,566
Composite
23.84/100
National rank
#7806
State rank
#151 of 178 in NC

Livability — Snow Hill

Score
65/100
State rank
#319
US rank
#13179

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
12,048
Population (ZIP)
12,048

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,070 people
By 2030
20,745 · -1.5%
By 2040
19,582 · -7.1%
By 2050
18,104 · -14.1%
By 2075
14,181 · -32.7%
By 2100
9,573 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+18.1) · D 40.7% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.9pp · 2024: -18.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.1 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+9.8 2012: R+7.7 2008: R+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.93%
Current HPI
197.4523
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $78,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-27 Sold (MLS) $66,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
  • 2025-05-29 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-28 Listed $74,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-04-24 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2024-04-23 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-03-21 Price Changed $74,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-03-05 Price Changed $84,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-01-30 Price Changed $92,500 Hive MLS
  • 2023-12-29 Listed $99,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $107 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…