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GABRIEL Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C+ Composite 62.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$192,990

GABRIEL Plan · Crandall, TX 75114
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,002 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Gabriel floorplan! This beautiful Cottage Style home plan offers a blend of comfort and functionality, designed to accommodate a variety of lifestyles. The exterior of the home includes a custom and architecturally designed elevation. The front exterior of the home boasts beautifully designed siding elevations. Enter the home through the covered front porch that leads to the raised panel fiberglass insulated front door (decorative front door options are available for upgrade). Opening the door will lead you to a foyer entry that invites you to the rest of the home. The kitchen features 36" cabinets with hidden hinges, stainless-steel appliances and wood plank laminate fl

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Walk-in closet
  • Smart home system

Tags

CUSTOM DESIGNED ELEVATIONCOVERED FRONT PORCHRAISED PANEL FIBERGLASS DOORWALK-IN PANTRYWALK-IN CLOSETSMART HOME SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $192,990

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family plan (GABRIEL)
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1002; Built as part of 2026 inventory
  • Exterior features: Selling from Crane Xing, Crandall TX 75114

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Active new construction plan (GABRIEL)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $192,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $181,362.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $193k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $193k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Crandall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 800 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $192,990

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.47%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,362
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4288 Tafoya Ln 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,002 (0%) 7mo $188,990 $189 91
4053 Quarry St 0.05mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,130 (+13%) 3mo $203,990 $181 67
4108 Sunridge Dr 0.08mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,130 (+13%) 2mo $202,490 $179 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,131
Equity at exit
$27,042
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$35,491
Equity at exit
$15,681

Cash invested: $50,781 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75114

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
800
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$951
Tax est. 1.5%
$227 /mo · $2,720/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,587
Max offer price $181,362
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $568 -5% $506 +0% $443 +5% $380 +10% $318
Rent -10% $274 -5% $358 +0% $443 +5% $528 +10% $613
Rate -1.0pp $534 -0.5pp $489 base $443 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $348

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,340
Closing costs
$5,441
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4484 Bonney Ave Crandall, TX 3.0 2.5 1206 $2,000 $1.66 0d 1 0.09mi
4624 Verdin St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,950 $1.40 0d 1 0.89mi
4171 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,900 $1.45 13d 1 1.14mi
4152 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,925 $1.52 25d 1 1.21mi
3324 Price Trl Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,995 $1.54 18d 1 1.35mi
2127 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1383 $2,200 $1.59 44d 1 1.41mi
2117 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,875 $1.27 44d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $192,990 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $192,990 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $192,990 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $192,990 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $192,990 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 694-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $192,990 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,770
− Mortgage interest
−$10,159
− Property taxes
−$2,720
− Insurance
−$907
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,062
− Management
−$2,062
− Depreciation
−$5,276
Taxable income
$2,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$620
After-tax cash flow
$4,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained, modern home with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed is ready for immediate occupancy and can be enhanced with minor updates to boost its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops — Modern countertops can improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance safety and curb appeal, making the home more attractive at night.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops — Modern countertops can improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance safety and curb appeal, making the home more attractive at night.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crandall ISD
NCES district ID
4815510
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,076
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4901
State rank
#351 of 826 in TX

Livability — Crandall

Score
68/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#10022

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
9,333
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,333
Household income
$88,013
Rent vs Own
12.7% rent · 87.3% own
Severe rent burden
33.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.61%
Current HPI
196.4773
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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