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1321 S 1st Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1321 S 1st Ave · Escanaba, MI 49829
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,038 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1906 4,356 sqft lot Est $231k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional opportunity to own a spacious side-by-side duplex offering just over 3,000 square feet of living space, functionality, character, and income potential. The first unit features four bedrooms and one bathroom with all family gathering spaces conveniently located on the main level. A large foyer entrance welcomes you into an expansive living room, warm dining area with a cozy gas fireplace, and a nicely appointed kitchen with access to its own private basement complete with laundry and storage space. The second unit offers three bedrooms and one bathroom and is currently occupied by a long-term tenant, providing immediate rental income. The main floor hosts comfortable gathering spaces including a spacious dining area, landing space, and kitchen, while all three bedrooms and the bathroom are located upstairs for added privacy. This unit also features its own separate basement with laundry and additional storage. Whether you are looking to expand your investment portfolio or occupy one side while generating rental income from the other, this large duplex presents endless potential.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1906

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit building with both units occupied; Unit 1 rent: $1,050 per month; Unit 2 rent: $900 per month; Month-to-month leases; pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Landlord pays taxes

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway with 3 or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Multi-family property (1 to 4 units); 2-story conventional frame; Built in 1906; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding and vinyl trim; Owned fence; Sidewalks; Corner lot on a main street; City location with paved, curbed streets and year-round access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms located on the second floor (unit-level details indicate bedrooms on second floor for both units)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Concrete (noted for a bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Fireplace (gas, located in dining room); Cable/Internet available; Hardwood floors; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Full poured basement; Separate utilities for units (separate heat, water, electric); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $140,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$230,888) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.9% in Escanaba — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#161 in MI, #4,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Escanaba Area Public Schools (town): math 31% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #243 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Delta County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $140k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.03%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$230,888
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 S 13th St 0.29mi 4/2.0 3,032 (-0%) 22mo $229,000 $76 68
702 S 12th St 0.44mi 5/2.0 (+1) 3,130 (+3%) 23mo $220,000 $70 50
420 S Lake Shore Dr 0.69mi 4/3.5 2,658 (-12%) 24mo $670,000 $252 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,351
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$34,301
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49829

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,682 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,714/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,184
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-05-28
    listed $140,000 Active 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1106 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to own a spacious side-by-side duplex offering just over 3,000 square feet of living space, functionality, character, and income potential. The first unit features four bedrooms and one bathroom with all family gathering spaces conveniently located on the main level. A large foyer entrance welcomes you into an expansive living room, warm dining area with a cozy gas fireplace, and a nicely appointed kitchen with access to its own private basement complete with laundry and storage space. The second unit offers three bedrooms and one bathroom and is currently occupied by a long-term tenant, providing immediate rental income. The main floor hosts comfortable gathering spaces including a spacious dining area, landing space, and kitchen, while all three bedrooms and the bathroom are located upstairs for added privacy. This unit also features its own separate basement with laundry and additional storage. Whether you are looking to expand your investment portfolio or occupy one side while generating rental income from the other, this large duplex presents endless potential.

  7. 2026-05-26
    listed $140,000 Active 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1106 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to own a spacious side-by-side duplex offering just over 3,000 square feet of living space, functionality, character, and income potential. The first unit features four bedrooms and one bathroom with all family gathering spaces conveniently located on the main level. A large foyer entrance welcomes you into an expansive living room, warm dining area with a cozy gas fireplace, and a nicely appointed kitchen with access to its own private basement complete with laundry and storage space. The second unit offers three bedrooms and one bathroom and is currently occupied by a long-term tenant, providing immediate rental income. The main floor hosts comfortable gathering spaces including a spacious dining area, landing space, and kitchen, while all three bedrooms and the bathroom are located upstairs for added privacy. This unit also features its own separate basement with laundry and additional storage. Whether you are looking to expand your investment portfolio or occupy one side while generating rental income from the other, this large duplex presents endless potential.

  8. 2003-09-29
    soldstatus $40,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,935 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,178
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,714
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,614
− Management
−$1,614
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$2,620
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$629
After-tax cash flow
$4,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escanaba Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2613500
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,187
Composite
31.97/100
National rank
#5841
State rank
#243 of 540 in MI

Livability — Escanaba

Score
75/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#4089

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Escanaba, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,859

Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,431 people
By 2030
33,003 · -4.1%
By 2040
29,748 · -13.6%
By 2050
26,753 · -22.3%
By 2075
20,962 · -39.1%
By 2100
15,616 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Delta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.4) · D 34.1% · R 64.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -30.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.4 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.16%
Current HPI
247.9676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $140,000 UPAR
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,714 · -45.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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