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3001 Henderson Ave NW 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 28.7
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

3001 Henderson Ave NW · Cleveland, TN 37312
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,335 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1948 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced $119,900.. .. .Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 bath Ranch Home that has been freshly painted, lg. eat-in kitchen complete with major appliances, lots of storage space, located conveniently near shopping areas and schools. Take a look today!

Key facts

  • Zoned r2
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1948

Tags

ZONED R2TENANT ALREADY IN PLACELONG-TERM UPSIDE POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed
  • HOA & community: No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; New construction; One story; Raised foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Raised foundation; New construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Public maintained road; No patio/porch; No pool; No other structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Single-family residence (one level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $175,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $297,705.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-344 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.5% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
  • Cleveland (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #85 of 139 in TN (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 549 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 768 units permitted in Bradley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $139k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.95%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
13.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$297,705
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3190 Cottage Grove Cir NW 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,345 (+1%) 17mo $300,000 $223 76
3190 Cottage Grove Cir 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,345 (+1%) 17mo $300,000 $223 76
3132 Cottage Grove Cir NW 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-3%) 13mo $298,500 $230 72
441 Barberry Dr NW 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,455 (+9%) 7mo $340,000 $234 66
3010 Clearwater Dr NE 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,332 (-0%) 4mo $290,000 $218 61
2620 Mac St NW 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+13%) 4mo $270,000 $179 55
166 Mcnabb Dr 0.17mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,529 (+14%) 9mo $269,900 $177 49
2636 Willow Run Trl NW Lot 6 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+12%) 1mo $379,900 $253 47
2612 Mac St NW 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,531 (+15%) 17mo $350,000 $229 41
3125 Clearwater Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,495 (+12%) 13mo $311,500 $208 36
3225 Weeks Horizon Pl NE 0.70mi 3/3.0 1,474 (+10%) 15mo $235,000 $159 30
3223 Weeks Horizon Pl NE 0.71mi 3/3.0 1,474 (+10%) 15mo $235,000 $159 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.4%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-75,286
Equity at exit
$44,389
10-year hold
IRR
-37.2%
Equity multiple
-0.36×
Total profit
$-113,775
Equity at exit
$25,740

Cash invested: $83,357 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37312

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
549
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,797 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,561
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $931/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,231
Max offer price $237,013
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,426
Closing costs
$8,931
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $175,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
  19. 2026-04-06
    listed $179,900 Active
  20. 2026-02-28
    historical $1,400
  21. 2026-02-04
    listed $1,400
  22. 2024-06-23
    historical $1,500
  23. 2024-06-20
    listed $1,500
  24. 2024-06-16
    historical $1,500
  25. 2024-06-14
    listed $1,500
  26. 2023-08-21
    soldstatus $138,503
  27. 2021-08-20
    soldstatus $132,000
  28. 2021-08-19
    soldstatus $109,900 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Priced $119,900.. .. .Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 bath Ranch Home that has been freshly painted, lg. eat-in kitchen complete with major appliances, lots of storage space, located conveniently near shopping areas and schools. Take a look today!

  29. 2021-08-09
    listed $119,900 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Priced $119,900.. .. .Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 bath Ranch Home that has been freshly painted, lg. eat-in kitchen complete with major appliances, lots of storage space, located conveniently near shopping areas and schools. Take a look today!

  30. 2019-02-06
    soldstatus $58,000 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath fixer upper home in the middle of Cleveland. Investors take note!!

  31. 2019-02-06
    soldstatus $58,000
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath fixer upper home in the middle of Cleveland. Investors take note!!

  32. 2019-02-06
    soldstatus $58,000
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath fixer upper home in the middle of Cleveland. Investors take note!!

  33. 2019-01-28
    listed $63,500 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath fixer upper home in the middle of Cleveland. Investors take note!!

  34. 2019-01-28
    listed $63,500
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath fixer upper home in the middle of Cleveland. Investors take note!!

  35. 1996-09-25
    soldstatus $37,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$931 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,242 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$312/yr (+$26/mo · 33.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,558
− Mortgage interest
−$16,676
− Property taxes
−$931
− Insurance
−$1,489
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,725
− Management
−$1,725
− Depreciation
−$8,661
Taxable loss
−$9,647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,315
After-tax cash flow
$-1,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland
NCES district ID
4700690
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,612
Composite
21.28/100
National rank
#8394
State rank
#85 of 139 in TN

Livability — Cleveland

Score
70/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#7689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cleveland, TN
County
Bradley County · 99,337 people
City population
99,337
Metro
Cleveland, TN
Population (ZIP)
36,669
Household income
$78,261
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
908.0

Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,901 people
By 2030
120,137 · +4.6%
By 2040
130,125 · +13.2%
By 2050
139,257 · +21.2%
By 2075
161,664 · +40.7%
By 2100
179,767 · +56.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradley

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.0% · R 78.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.7pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+55.3 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+53.9 2008: R+49.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.27%
Current HPI
260.8746
Rent YoY
▲ 0.15%
Metro
Cleveland, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+377.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $179,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-02-28 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-04 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-23 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-20 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-16 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-14 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $138,503 Public Records
  • 2021-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (MLS) $109,900 RCAOR
  • 2021-08-09 Listed $119,900 RCAOR
  • 2019-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-06 Sold (MLS) $58,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-06 Sold (MLS) $58,000 RCAOR
  • 2019-01-28 Listed $63,500 RCAOR
  • 2019-01-28 Listed $63,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $37,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $931 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…