568 Dover Pl · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SCREENED FRONT PORCH, LARGE FENCED YARD. NEEDS T.L.C. CALL FOR ADDENDUM WHEN WRITING OFFERS.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Back yard shed
- 4,600 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; Gravel areas; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected (100 Amp service, circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer (sanitary and storm); Internet available
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels / 2 stories; Not attached to other structures; No common walls
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Block foundation; Built year from public records
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Shed(s); City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Upper-level bedrooms (Bedroom 2 and Bedroom 3); Additional upper-level bedroom (dimensions provided for an upper room)
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Storm windows; Total of 6 rooms; Full unfinished block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (laundry in basement); Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Raymer Elementary School (math 14% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,584 statewide, top 87%, 424 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $95k implies a 1016% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.95%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 Hurd St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $83 | 80 |
| 2003 Idaho St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (-3%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $102 | 76 |
| 429 Dover Pl | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,155 (-5%) | 6mo | $66,000 | $57 | 75 |
| 590 Sylvandale Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,193 (-2%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $151 | 69 |
| 1130 Earlwood Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,191 (-2%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 2017 Kelsey Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-5%) | 1mo | $119,900 | $104 | 66 |
| 256 Midvale Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (-3%) | 4mo | $137,300 | $116 | 63 |
| 444 Raymer Blvd | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 | 1,283 (+6%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $70 | 58 |
| 358 Spring Grove Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+14%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 2601 Randall Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,308 (+8%) | 6mo | $210,700 | $161 | 47 |
| 1133 Nevada St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 4mo | $36,000 | $34 | 40 |
| 641 Willard St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,352 (+12%) | 7mo | $31,000 | $23 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-263
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $26,751
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43605
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,024 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,145 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,025 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 571 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $875 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 508 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,000 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 557 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,145 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1311 Mason St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $703 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $750 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $750 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 948 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,135 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1123 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1106 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,015 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 315 Parker Ave Unit 3 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1029 | $799 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 653 Oswald St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $800 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $950 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $900 | $0.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1103 S Wheeling St Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,049 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1205 Liberty St Unit NA Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,195 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,099 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1282 | $1,149 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 420 Platt St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1499 | $685 | $0.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 414 Platt St Unit ST-1 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 912 Willow Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 128 Carbon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 451 5th St Apt 1 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $650 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 946 Butler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $650 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2750 Pickle Rd Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,434 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2750 Pickle Rd Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $953 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 537 Potter St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $600 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 537 Potter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $625 | $0.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $799 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1537 Carlyle St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 380-char remark
-
2026-06-17$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,182 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 33.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$983
- − Management
- −$983
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $889
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$213
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,441
- Household income
- $39,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1257.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.85%
- Current HPI
- 138.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+111.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $94,900 NORIS
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $44,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $30,000 NORIS
- 2012-01-19 Sold (MLS) $8,500 NORIS
- 2011-10-25 Listed $8,500 NORIS
- 2007-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 2006-11-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 NORIS
- 2006-09-25 Listed $33,000 NORIS
- 2006-09-16 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-06-14 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-06-06 Listed $33,000 NORIS
- 2006-03-14 Listed $39,000 NORIS
- 2006-03-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-02-13 Listed $48,000 NORIS
- 2006-02-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-01-13 Listed $48,000 NORIS
- 2006-01-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2005-10-12 Listed $50,400 NORIS
- 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2003-03-28 Sold (MLS) $47,500 NORIS
- 2003-02-22 Price Changed $47,500 NORIS
- 2003-02-05 Listed $44,900 NORIS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $884 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…