302 1st Ave · Audubon, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a corner lot with over 1,300sf of living space. The home features a covered porch, deck, fireplace, high efficiency furnace, and breaker box. Some TLC will go a long way.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Breaker box
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage (off-site parking indicated)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-level single-family home; Wood siding construction
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acres (50 x 150)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (1); Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $630 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#95 in IA, #1,992 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Audubon Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #64 of 289 in IA (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Audubon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($208 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Audubon County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 90.09%
- DSCR
- 5.01
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,631
- List price
- $29,950
- Delta
- -73.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 702 E Division St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,302 (-0%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $73 | 79 |
| 505 South St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+1%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $133 | 79 |
| 613 Tracy St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,204 (-8%) | 0mo | $117,000 | $97 | 74 |
| 1012 N Division St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $186 | 59 |
| 619 Tracy St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (-7%) | 11mo | $117,500 | $96 | 57 |
| 708 1st Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 2mo | $74,000 | $51 | 57 |
| 911 Broadway St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 1111 Broadway St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-9%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $139 | 50 |
| 303 Pacific Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,238 (-5%) | 3mo | $154,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 206 5th Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-12%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $122 | 48 |
| 720 3rd Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,465 (+12%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $218 | 43 |
| 313 Mantz Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,123 (-14%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $156 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 99.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.73×
- Total profit
- $56,428
- Equity at exit
- $26,981
- IRR
- 94.4%
- Equity multiple
- 17.06×
- Total profit
- $134,667
- Equity at exit
- $58,186
Cash invested: $8,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50025
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $630
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,488
- Closing costs
- $898
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,950 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,950 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,950 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,950 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,950 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,950 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,950 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $29,950 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,950 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,950 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,950 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,950 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$29,950 Active 181-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,678
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,017
- − Management
- −$1,017
- − Depreciation
- −$871
- Taxable income
- $7,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,806
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Audubon Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903960
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,632
- Composite
- 64.32/100
- National rank
- #552
- State rank
- #64 of 289 in IA
Livability — Audubon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #1992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Audubon, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,893
Population outlook (Audubon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,157 people
- By 2030
- 4,837 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 4,241 · -17.8%
- By 2050
- 3,679 · -28.7%
- By 2075
- 2,917 · -43.4%
- By 2100
- 2,408 · -53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Audubon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 29.9% · R 68.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.5pp toward R · 2008: 3.1pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+35.8 2016: R+31.2 2012: R+5.6 2008: D+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.14%
- Current HPI
- 217.58
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $29,950 IAR
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,808 · +50.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…