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304 Plaza Ave
B- Composite 69.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.7/10.0

$37,900

304 Plaza Ave · Trumann, AR 72472
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 966 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1940 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this investment opportunity in 304 Plaza Ave. Trumann, AR 72472. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has original hardwood floors, metal siding, and a metal roof keeping maintenance at a minimum. There is a window air unit and a spot for a gas heater to be installed. Situated on a nice corner lot with parking available. Call your favorite REALTOR® with questions and to take a look.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Metal siding
  • Parking available

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSMETAL SIDINGMETAL ROOFCORNER LOTPARKING AVAILABLEWINDOW AIR UNIT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximate lot dimensions 84 x 45 (about 0.09 acre); Located in Trumann, Poinsett County; subdivision Harrison & Douglas; Annual taxes listed (details not included per instructions)
  • Financial info: Accepts cash and in-house financing
  • HOA & community: Details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking (see remarks)
  • Security: Details not provided
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electricity with municipal service (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Single-family property (details not provided); Inside city limits
  • Construction: Metal and vinyl siding, and wood exterior; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built area approximately 966 (source: tax records)
  • Exterior features: Level corner lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Details not provided
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; No central heating; Other heating (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($650 rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 4.4% in Trumann — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#353 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Trumann School District (town): math 28% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #178 of 238 in AR (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Trumann Prek And Parent Center (94 students, 97% FRL); Trumann High School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #159 of 292 statewide, top 55%, 457 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 67 units permitted in Poinsett County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Poinsett County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $38k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,763 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.56%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,022
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Jennifer St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 968 (+0%) 1mo $120,000 $124 77
313 Olive St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,016 (+5%) 7mo $65,000 $64 77
305 W Carlson 0.18mi 2/1.0 864 (-11%) 1mo $103,500 $120 73
329 Sharon Dr 0.43mi 2/1.0 900 (-7%) 3mo $105,000 $117 66
504 Locust 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+14%) 4mo $68,000 $62 56
120 S Parkview Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+8%) 6mo $133,000 $128 56
304 Norma Jean Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+9%) 1mo $37,500 $36 53
145 S Parkview Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,096 (+14%) 3mo $164,900 $150 52
404 Patterson St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+4%) 8mo $113,500 $114 50
338 Paula Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,026 (+6%) 7mo $79,000 $77 50
220 Magnolia 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-11%) 8mo $95,000 $110 49
304 Smith Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,060 (+10%) 10mo $160,000 $151 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$11,629
Equity at exit
$5,651
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$32,989
Equity at exit
$3,277

Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72472

Home prices YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $238/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$136
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $297
Max offer price $37,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,475
Closing costs
$1,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
228 Ambrea Dr Trumann, AR 1.0 1.0 574 $650 $1.13 43d 1 0.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $37,900 Under Contract 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,900 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,900 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,900 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $37,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-04-10
    listed $37,900 Active 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Don't miss this investment opportunity in 304 Plaza Ave. Trumann, AR 72472. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has original hardwood floors, metal siding, and a metal roof keeping maintenance at a minimum. There is a window air unit and a spot for a gas heater to be installed. Situated on a nice corner lot with parking available. Call your favorite REALTOR® with questions and to take a look.

  7. 2026-04-09
    listed $37,900 New Listing
  8. 2003-06-02
    soldstatus $10,510 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    HUD property - case #031-244485; insurable w/ escrow $3960 - SYSTEMS INSPECTION REQUIRED; eligible for 203k financing; sold AS-IS

  9. 2003-04-10
    listed $10,000 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    HUD property - case #031-244485; insurable w/ escrow $3960 - SYSTEMS INSPECTION REQUIRED; eligible for 203k financing; sold AS-IS

  10. 2002-04-17
    soldstatus $33,942

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$238 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$243 · $20/mo
Expected delta
+$5/yr ($0/mo · 1.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,800
− Mortgage interest
−$2,123
− Property taxes
−$238
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$624
− Management
−$624
− Depreciation
−$1,103
Taxable income
$2,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$696
After-tax cash flow
$2,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trumann School District
NCES district ID
0500047
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$35,307
Composite
22.33/100
National rank
#8130
State rank
#178 of 238 in AR

Livability — Trumann

Score
57/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#21973

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trumann, AR
Population (ZIP)
8,868

Population outlook (Poinsett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,998 people
By 2030
22,356 · -2.8%
By 2040
21,150 · -8.0%
By 2050
20,035 · -12.9%
By 2075
17,745 · -22.8%
By 2100
15,358 · -33.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Greek 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Poinsett

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.4% · R 81.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -6.69%
Current HPI
208.64
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $37,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $37,900 CARMLS
  • 2003-06-02 Sold (MLS) $10,510 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2003-04-10 Listed $10,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2002-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $33,942 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $238 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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