331 Maxine Ct · Milford, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$210,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
Key facts
- 8,015 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $211k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($408/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,343 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Milford ISD (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,086 of 1,141 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,678
- List price
- $210,990
- Delta
- -3.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 Maxine Ct | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (0%) | 1mo | $212,990 | $141 | 98 |
| 161 E Water St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,401 (-7%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $193 | 67 |
| 504 E Water | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,420 (-6%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $183 | 65 |
| 610 West Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-15%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $178 | 29 |
| 620 S Elm | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,295 (-14%) | 19mo | $219,900 | $170 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $82,372
- Equity at exit
- $153,129
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $237,418
- Equity at exit
- $297,369
Cash invested: $59,077 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76670
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,106
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$264 /mo · $3,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,748
- Closing costs
- $6,330
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $210,990 Pending 163 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,990 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,990 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-04-14status Active 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-03-26status Pending 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-03-11price $223,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-03-06price $232,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-03-04price $239,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-02-27price $236,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-02-11price $239,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-02-06price $247,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-01-26price $249,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2026-01-15price $252,990 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
-
2025-11-25$253,322 Active 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
MLS# 21120802 - Built by NHC - Ready Now! ~ The Lincoln Plan from our Liberty Series offers the perfect combination of efficiency, comfort, and value. This single-story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,510 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. Upon entering, you’ll find three secondary bedrooms, a full-size bathroom, and a conveniently located laundry room. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen, which overlooks the dining area and spacious family room, making it perfect for hosting or everyday living. Toward the back of the home, the primary suite provides a private retreat, complete with an en suite bathroom. Access to the primary suite is conveniently located just off the living room, ensuring privacy and easy access.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,819
- − Property taxes
- −$3,165
- − Insurance
- −$1,055
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,813
- − Management
- −$1,813
- − Depreciation
- −$6,138
- Taxable loss
- −$3,138
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$753
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of comfort and value, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract both buyers and renters.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing to potential buyers.
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can help manage energy costs and attract renters looking for energy-efficient homes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract both buyers and renters. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can help manage energy costs and attract renters looking for energy-efficient homes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milford ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830780
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,400
- Composite
- 22.85/100
- National rank
- #13398
- State rank
- #1086 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Milford
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #1343
- US rank
- #23142
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milford, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,921
Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,556 people
- By 2030
- 209,679 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 238,837 · +22.8%
- By 2050
- 265,451 · +36.4%
- By 2075
- 326,571 · +67.9%
- By 2100
- 362,156 · +86.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 16% Two or more races 14% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Ellis
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.50%
- Current HPI
- 311.8126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-11.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-26 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $223,990 NTREIS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $232,990 NTREIS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $239,990 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $236,990 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $239,990 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $247,990 NTREIS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $249,990 NTREIS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $252,990 NTREIS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $253,322 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…