1906 S Peachtree Rd · Balch Springs, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic investment opportunity or fixer-upper with endless potential! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize their own space. The property features a BONUS ROOM with a garage conversion, offering a separate living unit—perfect for extended family, rental income, or added flexibility. Located in a prime central location within Mesquite ISD, just minutes from schools, restaurants, parks, shopping, community college, and with easy access to I-635, Loop 12, Hwy 80, and I-30. This property is truly a hidden gem with strong upside. Enjoy a spacious backyard, ideal for outdoor activities or future enhancements. Property is currently tenant-occupied and will not be shown until under contract. Buyers should be mindful when selecting option period length, and a leaseback will most likely be required. Sold AS-IS. Extremely motivated seller. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform this property into a profitable investment or your next project.
Key facts
- Garage conversion
- Spacious backyard
- Separate living unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Balch Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#487 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mcwhorter El (math 40% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,709 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 516 students, 93% FRL); Wilkinson Middle (math 32% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 702 students, 90% FRL); West Mesquite H S (math 41% / reading 31%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,172 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 63% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $170k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.95%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,152
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- 4.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 Melton Ln | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-2%) | 11mo | $139,000 | $211 | 62 |
| 1417 Haney Ln | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-2%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $197 | 62 |
| 11219 Eastham Dr | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 604 (-10%) | 15mo | $205,000 | $339 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,042
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,632
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75180
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,699 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $165 | +0% $117 | +5% $69 | +10% $21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-17 | -5% $50 | +0% $117 | +5% $184 | +10% $251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $160 | base $117 | +0.5pp $73 | +1.0pp $28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2255 W Bruton Rd Mesquite, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,568 | $1.64 | 45d | 12 | 0.47mi |
| 12227 Quail Dr Balch Springs, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,200 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $170,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-28$170,000 Active 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity or fixer-upper with endless potential! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize their own space. The property features a BONUS ROOM with a garage conversion, offering a separate living unit—perfect for extended family, rental income, or added flexibility. Located in a prime central location within Mesquite ISD, just minutes from schools, restaurants, parks, shopping, community college, and with easy access to I-635, Loop 12, Hwy 80, and I-30. This property is truly a hidden gem with strong upside. Enjoy a spacious backyard, ideal for outdoor activities or future enhancements. Property is currently tenant-occupied and will not be shown until under contract. Buyers should be mindful when selecting option period length, and a leaseback will most likely be required. Sold AS-IS. Extremely motivated seller. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform this property into a profitable investment or your next project.
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-03-21$179,900 Active
-
2013-08-01soldstatus
-
2000-08-14soldstatus
-
2000-05-18soldstatus
-
1996-12-02soldstatus $37,240
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,153 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,153 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$3,153
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,631
- − Management
- −$1,631
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,347
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesquite ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,372
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6606
- State rank
- #536 of 826 in TX
Livability — Balch Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #9673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Balch Springs, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 26,455
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,455
- Household income
- $67,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 660.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 33% Two or more races 24% White 14% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.21%
- Current HPI
- 361.3668
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+356.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-03-21 Listed $179,900 NTREIS
- 2013-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-05-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,240 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,153 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…