85 Cedarwood Ter · The Hideout, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$210,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Sandy beaches
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $192k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.3% in The Hideout — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#668 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen El Sch (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Western Wayne Ms (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 411 students, 57% FRL); Western Wayne Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.36%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,589
- List price
- $210,500
- Delta
- -20.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 Parkwood Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (-3%) | 4mo | $289,990 | $259 | 85 |
| 126 Oak Cir | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $217 | 78 |
| 12 Oak Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-2%) | 10mo | $257,000 | $225 | 72 |
| 12 Oak Court Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-2%) | 10mo | $257,000 | $225 | 72 |
| 28 Lakewood Dr | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $148 | 66 |
| 10 Vista Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (+4%) | 9mo | $241,700 | $201 | 65 |
| 80 Lakewood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-9%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $243 | 61 |
| 21 Tarot Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (-0%) | 15mo | $227,000 | $196 | 56 |
| 210 Deerfield Rd | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 10mo | $239,000 | $217 | 40 |
| 35 Elmwood Ct | 0.75mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,012 (-12%) | 9mo | $262,000 | $259 | 30 |
| 15 Windemere Ln | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+12%) | 22mo | $282,000 | $217 | 26 |
| 81 Parkwood Dr Lot 65 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+15%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $199 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $67,311
- Equity at exit
- $94,650
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $181,286
- Equity at exit
- $145,867
Cash invested: $58,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $224,950 ($199/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 42 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 18427
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,104
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$263 /mo · $3,158/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$180
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $802 | -5% $729 | +0% $656 | +5% $584 | +10% $511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $427 | -5% $542 | +0% $656 | +5% $771 | +10% $885 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $710 | base $656 | +0.5pp $602 | +1.0pp $546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,625
- Closing costs
- $6,315
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1148 Golf Park Dr Lake Ariel, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,900 | $2.40 | 120d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in The Hideout subdivision
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee (security included)Association amenities include security, gated access, clubhouse, playground, recreation room, billiard room, golf course, ski access, tennis courts, basketball court, and pool
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway6 open parking spaces
- Utilities
- Private waterPrivate sewer200+ amp electric service
- Home design
- Single-family houseResidential propertyApproximately 1,157 above-grade finished area
- Construction
- Shingle roof
- Exterior features
- Shingle roofShed(s)Cleared lotGravel road; public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeRefrigeratorMicrowave
- Flooring
- CarpetHardwoodTile
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features
- Vaulted ceilingsFurnishedGas family-room fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerLaundry on main levelCrawl space with sump pump
HOA detail $180/mo · $2,160/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $210,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $210,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $210,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $210,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $210,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $210,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $210,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $210,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $210,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $210,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $210,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $210,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $210,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $210,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-03pricedays on market $210,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $217,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $217,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $217,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $217,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $217,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $217,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $217,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $217,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $217,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $217,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $217,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $217,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $217,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $217,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $217,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $217,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $217,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $217,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $217,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $217,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $217,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $217,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $217,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $217,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $217,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $217,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $217,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $217,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $222,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $222,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $222,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $222,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $222,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $222,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $222,500 Active 54 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,791
- − Property taxes
- −$3,158
- − Insurance
- −$1,052
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$6,124
- Taxable income
- $4,947
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,187
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom chalet in The Hideout is move-in ready with a good condition and a good ROI potential.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace ceiling fans — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226070
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 43.65/100
- National rank
- #2964
- State rank
- #165 of 539 in PA
Livability — The Hideout
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #668
- US rank
- #6516
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Hideout, PA
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-2.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $225,000 PMAR
- 2026-05-28 Listed $230,000 PMAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…