7180 KY Hwy 356 · Cynthiana, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice 2+/- acres with manufactured home with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms. Laminate flooring, spacious.
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Manufactured home
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water and cistern; Septic tank and lagoon system
- Home design: Manufactured house; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built on a 2.00-acre lot
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Rural view
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Storm windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.5% in Cynthiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#113 in KY, #4,911 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Harrison County (town): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #133 of 165 in KY (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Westside Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #489 of 676 statewide, top 76%, 350 students, 57% FRL); Harrison County Middle School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #172 of 217 statewide, top 80%, 607 students, 58% FRL); Harrison County High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 865 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harrison County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 635 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 635 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.97%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,080
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1380 Ky-356 | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,198 (+7%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $196 | 78 |
| 26 Raintree Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-4%) | 2mo | $224,900 | $209 | 76 |
| 28 Ashwood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,070 (-4%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $229 | 71 |
| 244 Sycamore Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,143 (+2%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $188 | 70 |
| 80 Ashwood Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-4%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $200 | 68 |
| 184 Sycamore Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,037 (-7%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $212 | 67 |
| 512 Broadway Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+5%) | 3mo | $253,000 | $215 | 66 |
| 286 Raintree Dr | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,276 (+14%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $157 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $111,788
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.06×
- Total profit
- $322,423
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41031
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $692/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $186 | +0% $132 | +5% $78 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5 | -5% $69 | +0% $132 | +5% $195 | +10% $258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $227 | -0.5pp $180 | base $132 | +0.5pp $83 | +1.0pp $32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 635 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 632 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 631 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 630 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 629 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 627 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 624 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 623 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 622 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 621 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 617 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 616 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 615 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 614 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 613 DOM
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2026-03-12status Active
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2026-02-23historical
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2025-09-05status Active
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2025-08-22historical
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2025-07-03price $190,000
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2024-08-23$199,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $692 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$942/yr (+$78/mo · 136.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$692
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$1,671
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County
- NCES district ID
- 2102580
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,744
- Composite
- 22.28/100
- National rank
- #8138
- State rank
- #133 of 165 in KY
Livability — Cynthiana
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #4911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,748
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,605 people
- By 2030
- 18,361 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 17,685 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 16,845 · -9.5%
- By 2075
- 14,882 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 12,314 · -33.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.1% · R 73.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.1pp · 2024: -48.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+21.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.31%
- Current HPI
- 339.482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-08-22 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $190,000 ImagineMLS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $199,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2021): $692 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…