5405 N State Road 127 · Snow Lake, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This estate property is situated on a little over an acre parcel of land. House needs several updates but has possibilities. Natural gas, regional sewer, whole house generator, and a 4" well. There is a detached metal building for storage and plenty of room to add on. Located near the the lake, the outlet mall, and the interstate.
Key facts
- Regional sewer
- Near the lake
- Acre parcel
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 3-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Generator for electric
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
- Construction: Construction materials: Other; Above-grade finished area listed
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Irregular lot; Lot dimensions: 218.02' x 248.3' x 152.17' x 186'; Approximately 1.063-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Partial basement; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fremont Community Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #94 of 301 in IN (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fremont Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 395 students, 47% FRL); Fremont Middle School (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #136 of 330 statewide, top 44%, 298 students, 46% FRL); Fremont High School (math 57% / reading 87%, grade B+, #12 of 369 statewide, top 4%, 292 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.41%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,688
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5405 N State Road 127 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-0%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $79 | 94 |
| 5480 N 50 W | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-13%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $206 | 61 |
| 60 Ln 385 Big Otter Lk | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+7%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $102 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $6,692
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $35,309
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46737
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $359
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $416 | -5% $387 | +0% $359 | +5% $331 | +10% $303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $256 | -5% $308 | +0% $359 | +5% $411 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $385 | base $359 | +0.5pp $333 | +1.0pp $307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-21$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,252
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,250
- − Management
- −$1,250
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,876
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$690
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fremont Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803780
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,625
- Composite
- 39.06/100
- National rank
- #4055
- State rank
- #94 of 301 in IN
Livability — Snow Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,076
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,334 people
- By 2030
- 33,801 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 32,076 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 30,022 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 25,626 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 21,257 · -38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.1% · R 70.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.57%
- Current HPI
- 217.7195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,252 · +44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…