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5405 N State Road 127
B Composite 72.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

5405 N State Road 127 · Snow Lake, IN 46737
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1925 1.06 ac lot Est $117k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This estate property is situated on a little over an acre parcel of land. House needs several updates but has possibilities. Natural gas, regional sewer, whole house generator, and a 4" well. There is a detached metal building for storage and plenty of room to add on. Located near the the lake, the outlet mall, and the interstate.

Key facts

  • Regional sewer
  • Near the lake
  • Acre parcel

Tags

ACRE PARCELNATURAL GASREGIONAL SEWERWHOLE HOUSE GENERATORDETACHED METAL BUILDINGNEAR THE LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Generator for electric
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Construction materials: Other; Above-grade finished area listed
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Irregular lot; Lot dimensions: 218.02' x 248.3' x 152.17' x 186'; Approximately 1.063-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fremont Community Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #94 of 301 in IN (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fremont Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 395 students, 47% FRL); Fremont Middle School (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #136 of 330 statewide, top 44%, 298 students, 46% FRL); Fremont High School (math 57% / reading 87%, grade B+, #12 of 369 statewide, top 4%, 292 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.41%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,688
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5405 N State Road 127 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,142 (-0%) 0mo $90,000 $79 94
5480 N 50 W 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (-13%) 1mo $205,000 $206 61
60 Ln 385 Big Otter Lk 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (+7%) 2mo $125,000 $102 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$6,692
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$35,309
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46737

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,252/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $848
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $416 -5% $387 +0% $359 +5% $331 +10% $303
Rent -10% $256 -5% $308 +0% $359 +5% $411 +10% $462
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $385 base $359 +0.5pp $333 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,252 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,252 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,630
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,252
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,250
− Management
−$1,250
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,876
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$690
After-tax cash flow
$3,619/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fremont Community Schools
NCES district ID
1803780
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$54,625
Composite
39.06/100
National rank
#4055
State rank
#94 of 301 in IN

Livability — Snow Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,076

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,334 people
By 2030
33,801 · -1.6%
By 2040
32,076 · -6.6%
By 2050
30,022 · -12.6%
By 2075
25,626 · -25.4%
By 2100
21,257 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.1% · R 70.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.57%
Current HPI
217.7195
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $99,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,252 · +44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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