10140 County Road 6610 · South Fork, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Big mature timber
- Well house
- 8x14 garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($946 rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#955 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- West Plains R-VII (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #152 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.28%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,307
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -64.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-864
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,607
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65775
- Home prices YoY
- -16.4%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $946 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $361/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-05-02price $89,000 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-05-01price $89,000 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! The perfect place to build or set up a home! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-03-16$99,900 Active 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-03-10$99,900 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! The perfect place to build or set up a home! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.
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2024-09-10status Pending
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2024-09-04$99,900 Active
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2024-08-26historical
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2024-08-06price $89,000
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2024-08-06price $89,000
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2024-08-06price $89,000
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2024-04-19price $99,900
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2024-04-19price $99,900
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2024-04-19price $99,900
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2024-02-28status Active
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2024-02-23status Pending
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2024-02-16$119,900 Active
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2024-02-14$119,900 Active
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2024-02-14$119,900 Active
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1974-07-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $361 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$503/yr (+$42/mo · 139.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$361
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$908
- − Management
- −$908
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$277
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Plains R-VII
- NCES district ID
- 2931680
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,206
- Composite
- 33.59/100
- National rank
- #5419
- State rank
- #152 of 324 in MO
Livability — South Fork
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #955
- US rank
- #26479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,950
Population outlook (Howell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,462 people
- By 2030
- 37,240 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 34,495 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 31,450 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 23,660 · -38.5%
- By 2100
- 16,373 · -57.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.8pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+30.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.99%
- Current HPI
- 228.8763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-25.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
- 2026-03-16 Listed $99,900 SOMO
- 2026-03-10 Listed $99,900 SOMO
- 2024-09-10 Pending — SOMO
- 2024-09-04 Listed $99,900 SOMO
- 2024-08-26 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 MHMLS
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
- 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 MHMLS
- 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 SOMO
- 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Relisted — SOMO
- 2024-02-23 Pending — SOMO
- 2024-02-16 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-14 Listed $119,900 SOMO
- 2024-02-14 Listed $119,900 MHMLS
- 1974-07-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $361 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…