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10140 County Road 6610
C Composite 58.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

10140 County Road 6610 · South Fork, MO 65775
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Other public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1986 2.40 ac lot $88/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Big mature timber
  • Well house
  • 8x14 garage

Tags

2.4 ACRESBIG MATURE TIMBERSPACIOUS OPEN CONCEPT LIVING8X14 GARAGE7X12 WORKSHOPWELL HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($946 rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#955 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • West Plains R-VII (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #152 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.28%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,307
List price
$89,000
Delta
-64.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-864
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$16,607
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65775

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $361/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $676
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $89,000 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.

  16. 2026-05-01
    price $89,000 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! The perfect place to build or set up a home! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.

  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $99,900 Active 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER - Will look at all reasonable offers! Development Potential - The perfect place to build or set up a home! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.

  18. 2026-03-10
    listed $99,900 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! This 2.4 Acres m/l has so much potential! The perfect place to build or set up a home! Located 5 miles from West Plains city limits just off AB Highway. This property features a private wooded setting, BIG mature timber, the cabin is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath that is in disrepair, an 8x14 garage with concrete floor and electric, a 7x12 workshop with concrete floor, electric & flue for wood stove, well house and a circle drive. The house needs alot of work or the foundation repurposed - this property could be really nice and located in a great area. This fixer upper is an investment opportunity. Would make a great flip house or the has basics for a mini-farm. Being sold AS IS.

  19. 2024-09-10
    status Pending
  20. 2024-09-04
    listed $99,900 Active
  21. 2024-08-26
    historical
  22. 2024-08-06
    price $89,000
  23. 2024-08-06
    price $89,000
  24. 2024-08-06
    price $89,000
  25. 2024-04-19
    price $99,900
  26. 2024-04-19
    price $99,900
  27. 2024-04-19
    price $99,900
  28. 2024-02-28
    status Active
  29. 2024-02-23
    status Pending
  30. 2024-02-16
    listed $119,900 Active
  31. 2024-02-14
    listed $119,900 Active
  32. 2024-02-14
    listed $119,900 Active
  33. 1974-07-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$361 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$503/yr (+$42/mo · 139.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,351
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$361
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$908
− Management
−$908
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,155
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$277
After-tax cash flow
$2,284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Plains R-VII
NCES district ID
2931680
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$32,206
Composite
33.59/100
National rank
#5419
State rank
#152 of 324 in MO

Livability — South Fork

Score
46/100
State rank
#955
US rank
#26479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,950

Population outlook (Howell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,462 people
By 2030
37,240 · -3.2%
By 2040
34,495 · -10.3%
By 2050
31,450 · -18.2%
By 2075
23,660 · -38.5%
By 2100
16,373 · -57.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Howell

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.8pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.99%
Current HPI
228.8763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $99,900 SOMO
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $99,900 SOMO
  • 2024-09-10 Pending SOMO
  • 2024-09-04 Listed $99,900 SOMO
  • 2024-08-26 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 MHMLS
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
  • 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 MHMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 SOMO
  • 2024-04-19 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-28 Relisted SOMO
  • 2024-02-23 Pending SOMO
  • 2024-02-16 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-14 Listed $119,900 SOMO
  • 2024-02-14 Listed $119,900 MHMLS
  • 1974-07-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $361 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…