4213 Van Buren St · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Comp purposes room sizes estimated as-is condition
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1935
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Leeds Elementary School (math 58% / reading 53%, grade C, #457 of 616 statewide, top 74%, 606 students, 68% FRL); North Middle School (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #224 of 246 statewide, top 91%, 1,224 students, 74% FRL); North High School (math 53% / reading 57%, grade C, #289 of 336 statewide, top 86%, 1,634 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.65%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,514
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4027 Van Buren St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+5%) | 8mo | $174,000 | $115 | 75 |
| 4135 Madison St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-5%) | 9mo | $156,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 4607 Polk St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,435 (+0%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $167 | 72 |
| 4205 Polk St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,466 (+2%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $113 | 71 |
| 4124 Adams St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,394 (-3%) | 10mo | $142,800 | $102 | 70 |
| 4325 Central St | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,328 (-7%) | 12mo | $184,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 3903 43rd St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+8%) | 10mo | $188,000 | $121 | 64 |
| 4120 Van Buren St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+13%) | 6mo | $185,500 | $115 | 63 |
| 4629 Fillmore St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (+3%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $149 | 61 |
| 3112 38th St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,478 (+3%) | 13mo | $189,900 | $128 | 52 |
| 4509 Floyd Blvd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+14%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $110 | 41 |
| 4621 Fillmore St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-13%) | 17mo | $223,000 | $178 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $17,593
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $53,740
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51108
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,568/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3800 Glen Oaks Blvd Sioux City, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,275 | $1.66 | 43d | 4 | 1.18mi |
| 3290 Martha St Sioux City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,309 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-21$75,000
-
2026-05-21historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,568 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,568 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,568
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,241
- − Management
- −$1,241
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,709
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- City population
- 51,789
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,637
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Portuguese 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.56%
- Current HPI
- 273.2998
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Delisted — NWIA
- 2026-05-21 Listed $75,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,568 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…