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103 E Commercial St
B Composite 74.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$50,000

103 E Commercial St · Webbers Falls, OK 74470
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,116 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1940 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment property to be sold with 4 other properties as a group MLS#2621937, MLS#2621941, MLS# 2621943, MLS#. Close to school.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Carport
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation; Property type: single family (detached)
  • Construction: Metal roof; Wood frame construction; Asbestos siding/material (noted in records); Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Shed(s); Corner lot; Mature trees; Boat ramp/lift access to Arkansas River

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Concrete; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Wood window frames; Accessible doors; Laminate counters; Cable TV ready; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range/oven connection
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($944 rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#269 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Webbers Falls (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #444 of 513 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Muskogee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Muskogee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $50k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
16.87%
Cash-on-cash
37.78%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$39,776
Equity at exit
$28,537
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$95,873
Equity at exit
$49,419

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74470

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$944 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $261/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $386
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 136-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$261 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$450 · $37/mo
Expected delta
+$189/yr (+$16/mo · 72.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,325
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$261
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$906
− Management
−$906
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$4,746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,139
After-tax cash flow
$4,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webbers Falls
NCES district ID
4032130
Math proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,908
Composite
18.02/100
National rank
#14093
State rank
#444 of 513 in OK

Livability — Webbers Falls

Score
62/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#17101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Webbers Falls, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,362

Population outlook (Muskogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,842 people
By 2030
64,969 · -2.8%
By 2040
60,920 · -8.9%
By 2050
56,978 · -14.8%
By 2075
47,160 · -29.4%
By 2100
35,336 · -47.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Two or more races 20% Native American 17% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskogee

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.4% · R 68.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-22.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+15.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.07%
Current HPI
283.3825
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $261 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…