103 E Commercial St · Webbers Falls, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property to be sold with 4 other properties as a group MLS#2621937, MLS#2621941, MLS# 2621943, MLS#. Close to school.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Carport
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation; Property type: single family (detached)
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood frame construction; Asbestos siding/material (noted in records); Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Shed(s); Corner lot; Mature trees; Boat ramp/lift access to Arkansas River
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Concrete; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Wood window frames; Accessible doors; Laminate counters; Cable TV ready; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range/oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($944 rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#269 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Webbers Falls (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #444 of 513 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Muskogee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Muskogee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $50k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.78%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $39,776
- Equity at exit
- $28,537
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.85×
- Total profit
- $95,873
- Equity at exit
- $49,419
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74470
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $944 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $261/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-16remarks 136-char remark
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2026-06-16$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $261 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $450 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$189/yr (+$16/mo · 72.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$261
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,746
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,139
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webbers Falls
- NCES district ID
- 4032130
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,908
- Composite
- 18.02/100
- National rank
- #14093
- State rank
- #444 of 513 in OK
Livability — Webbers Falls
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #17101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Webbers Falls, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,362
Population outlook (Muskogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,842 people
- By 2030
- 64,969 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 60,920 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 56,978 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 47,160 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 35,336 · -47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Two or more races 20% Native American 17% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskogee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.4% · R 68.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.07%
- Current HPI
- 283.3825
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+300.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $261 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…