5341 Byrams Ford Rd · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sold Before Processed
Key facts
- 0.37 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1953
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Raytown C-2 (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #302 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $543 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.53%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8806 E 55th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 846 (+1%) | 6mo | $118,000 | $139 | 72 |
| 5127 Rinker Rd | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $206 | 64 |
| 5130 Palmer St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+3%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $145 | 62 |
| 5115 Sycamore Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (-3%) | 12mo | $99,000 | $121 | 59 |
| 7407 E 56th Ter | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+0%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 8804 E 59th Ter | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+3%) | 2mo | $184,900 | $214 | 54 |
| 7803 E 50th Ter | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 864 (+3%) | 6mo | $174,900 | $202 | 53 |
| 5317 Hunter St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+9%) | 9mo | $187,500 | $206 | 53 |
| 5117 Palmer Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (-3%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $165 | 52 |
| 8004 E 57th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $179 | 45 |
| 5605 Oakland Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 9mo | $149,950 | $206 | 38 |
| 5500 Ditzler Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+11%) | 12mo | $173,000 | $185 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $17,071
- Equity at exit
- $11,705
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $53,264
- Equity at exit
- $6,787
Cash invested: $21,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64129
- Home prices YoY
- -9.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$412
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $512 | -5% $490 | +0% $468 | +5% $445 | +10% $423 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $367 | -5% $417 | +0% $468 | +5% $518 | +10% $568 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $507 | -0.5pp $487 | base $468 | +0.5pp $447 | +1.0pp $426 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,625
- Closing costs
- $2,355
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5126 Booth Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,149 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5420 Blue Ridge Cutoff Raytown, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,004 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5312 Hunter St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5312 Hunter St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8855 E 59th St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,396 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7601 Sni a Bar Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,099 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7615 E 49th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,095 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7611 E 47th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,276 | $1.52 | 8d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4730 Richmond Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,395 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10005 E 53rd St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10005 E 53rd St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9805 E 61st St Raytown, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $924 | $1.22 | 3d | 39 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 21-char remark
-
2026-06-17$78,500 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,070
- − Insurance
- −$392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,217
- − Management
- −$1,217
- − Depreciation
- −$2,284
- Taxable income
- $4,630
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,111
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raytown C-2
- NCES district ID
- 2926070
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,215
- Composite
- 17.59/100
- National rank
- #9039
- State rank
- #302 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,267
- Household income
- $51,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 349.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.25%
- Current HPI
- 297.5233
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-16 Listed $78,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,070 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…