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421 Avenue D
C+ Composite 64.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

421 Avenue D · Forest Hills, PA 15221
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · Townhouse public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1935 1,851 sqft lot $104/sqft · 32% below area Est $139k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks at 421 Avenue D, a solid brick townhome in Forest Hills that makes equal sense as a primary residence or an income-producing investment. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable path to homeownership or an investor seeking a rental in a welcoming Pittsburgh suburb, this property delivers. Step inside from the covered front porch to a bright, welcoming living room featuring a decorative brick fireplace, ceiling fan, and newer double-pane windows that flood the space with natural light. A separate dining room flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio, flat, private, and bordered by mature hedges. Beyond the patio, the yard gently slopes up toward the alley, offering outdoor space with potential to add off-street parking, a feature tenants and owners alike appreciate. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, a bright full bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete a functional and comfortable layout. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware add character that today's buyers and renters love. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage space. Lovingly maintained by the same family for many years, this home is ready for its next chapter. Forest Hills is a tight-knit borough tucked between Edgewood and Penn Hills, with easy access to public transportation, Ardmore Boulevard, Edgewood Towne Centre, and the Parkway East. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1935
  • Listed 76 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.2% in Forest Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#112 in PA, #873 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $95k implies a 516% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.48%
Cash-on-cash
7.79%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,605
List price
$94,900
Delta
-31.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-3,393
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$15,342
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15221

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,853/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $226 -5% $199 +0% $173 +5% $146 +10% $119
Rent -10% $86 -5% $129 +0% $173 +5% $216 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $220 -0.5pp $197 base $173 +0.5pp $148 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12 Demmer Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 24d 1 0.18mi
227 Parklane Dr Unit Parklane Dr unit North Braddock, PA 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,500 $1.36 13d 1 0.24mi
219 North Ave Unit 1 East Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 3d 1 0.28mi
1310 Brinton Ave Unit 1 Braddock, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.46mi
17 Sumner Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 44d 1 0.46mi
1508 Ridge Ave Unit 3 Braddock, PA 1.0 1.0 850 $680 $0.80 44d 1 0.59mi
505 Washington St Turtle Creek, PA 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 44d 1 0.63mi
810 Wood St Unit 1 East Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 8d 1 0.85mi
221 Grant St Unit 221-B Turtle Creek, PA 2.0 1.0 756 $775 $1.03 44d 1 1.00mi
173 Churchill Rd Turtle Creek, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 820 $1,175 $1.43 17d 2 1.03mi
906 Penn Ave Turtle Creek, PA 1.0 1.0 588 $895 $1.52 3d 1 1.04mi
906 Penn Ave Unit B Turtle Creek, PA 3.0 1.0 820 $1,250 $1.52 44d 1 1.04mi
906 Penn Ave Unit A Turtle Creek, PA 2.0 2.0 1122 $1,250 $1.11 44d 1 1.04mi
906 Penn Ave Unit B Turtle Creek, PA 3.0 1.0 820 $1,250 $1.52 24d 1 1.04mi
411 Franklin St Unit 3 East Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 646 $1,050 $1.63 44d 1 1.05mi
342 Kenyon St Turtle Creek, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,155 $1.36 15d 6 1.08mi
817 Kirkpatrick Ave Unit 8171-A Braddock, PA 2.0 1.0 866 $800 $0.92 44d 1 1.13mi
918 Oak Ave Turtle Creek, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 1.20mi
622 Mercer St Unit B Turtle Creek, PA 1.0 1.0 725 $1,300 $1.79 8d 1 1.39mi
700 Filmore Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1072 $1,800 $1.68 13d 1 1.48mi
144 Comrie Ave Braddock, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-04-03
    listed $94,900 Active 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 421 Avenue D, a solid brick townhome in Forest Hills that makes equal sense as a primary residence or an income-producing investment. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable path to homeownership or an investor seeking a rental in a welcoming Pittsburgh suburb, this property delivers. Step inside from the covered front porch to a bright, welcoming living room featuring a decorative brick fireplace, ceiling fan, and newer double-pane windows that flood the space with natural light. A separate dining room flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio, flat, private, and bordered by mature hedges. Beyond the patio, the yard gently slopes up toward the alley, offering outdoor space with potential to add off-street parking, a feature tenants and owners alike appreciate. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, a bright full bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete a functional and comfortable layout. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware add character that today's buyers and renters love. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage space. Lovingly maintained by the same family for many years, this home is ready for its next chapter. Forest Hills is a tight-knit borough tucked between Edgewood and Penn Hills, with easy access to public transportation, Ardmore Boulevard, Edgewood Towne Centre, and the Parkway East. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2025-12-14
    status Active 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  16. 2025-11-23
    historical 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  17. 2025-11-15
    status Active 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  18. 2025-11-07
    historical Contingent 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  19. 2025-10-23
    price $95,000 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  20. 2025-09-30
    listed $100,000 Active 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    This timeless brick townhome in Forest Hills is ready to welcome its next owners. A covered front porch leads into the inviting living room, filled with natural light from newer double-pane windows throughout and featuring a decorative brick fireplace and ceiling fan. A separate dining room with ceiling fan flows into the kitchen, which opens directly to the back patio—flat and private with hedge-lined borders. Beyond the patio, a large yard extends to the alley, offering space to enjoy outdoors and potential for adding off-street parking. Upstairs, two generously sized bedrooms, including one with a ceiling fan, a crisp and bright bath, and a convenient hallway closet complete the layout. The spacious unfinished basement provides abundant storage and laundry hookups. Original wooden doors with vintage hardware preserve the home’s character. With great rent potential, this home has been lovingly cared for by the same family for many years.

  21. 1975-08-25
    soldstatus $15,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,853 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,853 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,127
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,853
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$149
After-tax cash flow
$1,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodland Hills SD
NCES district ID
4216500
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,803
Composite
18.31/100
National rank
#8954
State rank
#486 of 539 in PA

Livability — Forest Hills

Score
83/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#873

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest Hills, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,374
Household income
$55,028
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1933.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.77%
Current HPI
230.0486
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+516.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $94,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-14 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-23 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-15 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $95,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $100,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1975-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $15,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,853 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…